1 of 5 matches on Sun 25 Oct is priced by a blend of our model and the bookmakers; 4 are for members. How each source has done
Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
Data provider's injury report: Fortuna Sittard 3 out · Excelsior none out
Bookmakers: no line yet
Model + bookmakers blend: Fortuna Sittard 38% · draw 25% · Excelsior 37%
Data provider's injury report: NEC Nijmegen 5 out · Groningen 3 out
Data provider's injury report: PSV Eindhoven 5 out · Feyenoord 2 out
Data provider's injury report: Sparta Rotterdam 1 out · Ajax 7 out
Scores updated 10:56 PM EDT
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Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 59% of 374 matches. It gave its favourite 53% on average: too cautious.
Model (ours): too few to say (6).
Bookmakers or data provider: too few to say (1).
Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
Published cards: 141 of 179 came in (cards share legs; small sample).
Our soccer numbers are not validated as better than the bookmakers' yet.