Published October 25, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Read the preview written before kickoff →
Match report
A 1-0 win for Wolves over Watford in the Championship on Saturday, October 24. Wolves led 1-0 at half-time and that remained the final score, with one goal for Wolves and no goals for Watford.
The match finished with one goal in all. Wolves’ interval lead was therefore the decisive margin: the scoreline records no change between the half-time and full-time results.
How it unfolded
Wolves were ahead at the interval, when the score was 1-0. The match ended 1-0, leaving the same margin at full-time.
The scoring account is straightforward: Wolves finished with one goal, Watford with no goals. That left Wolves with the win and Watford without a goal, as reflected in the final score.
The numbers
Before kick-off, Goalorithm’s model gave Wolves a win probability of 57.6%, a draw probability of 23.6% and a Watford win probability of 18.8%. These probabilities are estimates of possible match outcomes.
The actual score was 1-0, with one goal in all. The model’s pre-match percentages describe its view of the possible results; the scoreline records what happened on the pitch. Here, the interval score and the final score were identical, while the match account shows Wolves scoring and Watford not scoring.