Published September 28, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Final: New Mexico State Aggies 34–13 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers. Read the game analysis →
Preview
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers visit the New Mexico State Aggies in college football on Thursday, October 1, with kickoff at 8:00 p.m. ET. Both teams are 1-3 overall this season, but they come into the game after different latest results.
What the model expects
The model gives the New Mexico State Aggies 86.8% to win and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 13.2%; these probabilities are estimates, not certainties. The model's likelier result is a New Mexico State Aggies win.
The projection has the New Mexico State Aggies scoring 36.9 points and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers scoring 22.3, with 59.2 in all. The projected margin is the New Mexico State Aggies by 14.6 points.
Records and recent results
The New Mexico State Aggies are 1-3 overall this season, with 105 points scored and 119 allowed in 4 games. The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are 1-3, with 86 points scored and 164 allowed in 4 games; the two sides have the same record.