Internal use only
Skip to main content
GoalorithmSports intelligence
All Sports

Football

Upcoming GamesPredictionsPlayer ProjectionsParlay BuilderMy PicksBetting JournalResults

Intelligence

NewsModel PerformanceData Health

Explore

StandingsValue ScanPlayersCompetitions

Build your edge

Understand every number behind the call.

Learn the numbers Explore membership

Match intelligence

News

All sportsFootballBasketballMLBNFL

Football

News

All sportsFootballBasketballMLBNFL
GOALORITHM / FTB

Match analysis · UEFA Nations League

Research workspace

Wales 2-1 Norway: Match Analysis & Model Review

Wales 2-1 Norway in the UEFA Nations League, Thursday, October 1: the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

← All news
Home / News / Soccer / Match analysis

Published October 1, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

A 2-1 win for Wales over Norway in the UEFA Nations League on Thursday, October 1, with Wales scoring two goals and Norway scoring one goal. The teams were level at 1-1 at the interval, and the final score was 2-1 at Cardiff City Stadium.

The numbers

Wales recorded 6 shots, including 2 on target; Norway registered 3 shots, with 3 on target. The on-target totals account for efforts directed at goal, while the shot totals include attempts that did not reach the target. The scoreline records the outcome: Wales finished with two goals, Norway with one goal, and the match had three goals in all.

Possession was 42% for Wales and 58% for Norway. Those figures describe each side’s share of the ball, rather than the outcome of any particular spell. The corner count was 2 for Wales and 1 for Norway; the totals do not establish what came from those set pieces. They provide another part of the match record alongside the shots and the scoring.

The goalkeepers made 2 saves for Wales and 1 for Norway. Read with the shots-on-target totals, those figures record the work between the posts without identifying the individual chances. The statistical picture includes possession, attempts, corners and saves, while the scoreline supplies the decisive fact: Wales ended the match with the win.

More soccer news

All news →

SoccerPreview· Primeira Liga

Moreirense vs GIL Vicente Prediction & Preview (October 9)

Moreirense vs GIL Vicente in Primeira Liga, Friday, October 9. Goalorithm's model makes GIL Vicente win the most likely result at 37.5%. Form, the table, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

Fri, Oct 9 · 1:45 PM ET

SoccerPreview· Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen Prediction & Preview (October 9)

PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen in Eredivisie, Friday, October 9. Goalorithm's model makes PSV Eindhoven win the most likely result at 72.7%. Form, the table, team news, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

Fri, Oct 9 · 2:00 PM ET

Matches
Predictions
My Picks

Standout performers

Wales' best-rated player was D. James, rated 7.5 with 1 goal. The goal was a direct contribution to Wales' scoring, and the rating marks D. James as the side's highest-rated player in the match.

For Norway, Oscar Bobb was the best-rated player, with a rating of 7.8 and 1 goal. His goal was Norway's recorded scoring contribution from the player details available here. Both teams therefore had a scorer among their best-rated performers, though the result belonged to Wales.

How the model called it

Before kickoff, Goalorithm's model gave Wales a win probability of 15.2%, a draw probability of 20.3%, and a Norway win probability of 64.4%. These probabilities are estimates. The model's most likely outcome was Norway to win; it gave the actual result 15.2%, and the result went against the model's most likely outcome.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

UEFA Nations League

Wales vs Norway

Thu, Oct 1 · 2:45 PM ET · Cardiff City Stadium

Full time

2–1

Half-time 1–1

The model before the game

Wales
15.3%
Draw
20.3%
Norway
64.4%

The result went against the model's most likely outcome.

The numbers

WalesStatisticNorway
2saves1
6shots3
2corners1
42%possession58%
2shots on target3
Open the Match Center

SoccerPreview· Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Prediction & Preview (October 9)

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen in Bundesliga, Friday, October 9. Goalorithm's model makes Borussia Dortmund win the most likely result at 68.8%. Form, the table, team news, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

Fri, Oct 9 · 2:30 PM ET

SoccerPreview· Ligue 1

Lens vs Lyon Prediction & Preview (October 9)

Lens vs Lyon in Ligue 1, Friday, October 9. Goalorithm's model makes Lens win the most likely result at 37.4%. Form, the table, team news, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

Fri, Oct 9 · 2:45 PM ET