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GOALORITHM / NFL

Game analysis · college football

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Houston Cougars 27-17 UCF Knights: Game Analysis & Model Review

A 27-17 win for the Houston Cougars over the UCF Knights in college football, Saturday, October 3: the box score, the top performers and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 3, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before the game →

Game report

The Houston Cougars beat the UCF Knights 27-17 in college football on Saturday, October 3. The Houston Cougars finished with 154 rushing yards and 23 first downs, while the UCF Knights had 73 rushing yards and 13 first downs.

The numbers

The Houston Cougars gained 393 total yards, including 239 net passing yards and 154 rushing yards. The UCF Knights gained 332 total yards, with 259 net passing yards and 73 rushing yards.

The Houston Cougars converted 50% of third downs and possessed the ball for 33:22; the UCF Knights converted 28.6% and had possession for 26:38. Both teams had 1 turnover.

Top performers

For the Houston Cougars, Conner Weigman completed 18 of 33 passes for 239 yards, Re'Shaun Sanford II ran for 62 yards on 18 carries, and Patrick Overmyer caught 6 passes for 76 yards. The Houston Cougars’ Latreveon McCutchin had an interception, while Jonathan Dimas made 2 of 2 field goals.

For the UCF Knights, Keyone Jenkins completed 23 of 35 passes for 253 yards, with a touchdown and an interception, Duke Watson ran for 50 yards on 9 carries, and Josh Derry caught 7 passes for 101 yards, with a touchdown. The UCF Knights’ Will Stone made 1 of 1 field goals.

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How the model called it

Before the game, the model gave the Houston Cougars 57.1% to win and the UCF Knights 42.9%. Those chances were estimates, not certainties. The model's favorite was the Houston Cougars to win, and the model's favorite won. The model had the Houston Cougars by 2.3 points, and they won by ten points, more than projected

See every number for this game in the Game Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and game records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

college football

Houston Cougars vs UCF Knights

Sat, Oct 3 · 12:00 PM ET

Final

27–17

The model before the game

Houston Cougars
57.1%
UCF Knights
42.9%

The model's favourite won.

The numbers

Houston CougarsStatisticUCF Knights
1turnovers1
23first downs13
393total yards332
154rushing yards73
239net passing yards259
33:22time of possession26:38
50%third-down conversion rate28.6%
Open the Game Center

Thu, Oct 8 · 7:00 PM ET

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