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Match analysis · CONCACAF Nations League

Research workspace

Suriname 0-0 Guatemala: Match Analysis & Model Review

Suriname 0-0 Guatemala in the CONCACAF Nations League, Friday, October 2: the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 2, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Suriname and Guatemala shared 0-0 in the CONCACAF Nations League, with a 0-0 draw after a match that ended as it began: 0-0. Suriname had the greater share of the ball and the clearer statistical edge in attacking output, but neither side turned its efforts into a goal.

How it unfolded

There were no goals to separate the teams, and the score remained level at the break and at full time. Suriname finished with no goals, Guatemala with no goals, and the match produced no goals overall.

The numbers

The gap in attacking activity was striking: Suriname recorded 13 shots to Guatemala's 2, and put 8 efforts on target while Guatemala had 0. That volume brought no breakthrough, leaving the draw to tell only part of the story of a match in which Suriname repeatedly tested the opposition without scoring.

Possession also tilted towards Suriname, at 61% against 39%. The corner count followed the same pattern, with 5 for Suriname and 0 for Guatemala. Yet the most telling defensive figure belonged to Guatemala: its goalkeeper made 8 saves, while Suriname's goalkeeper was credited with 0. Those figures underline how often Guatemala had to deal with attempts, and how rarely it forced a save at the other end.

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The statistics point to a one-sided contest in terms of pressure and shots, but not on the scoreboard. Suriname found the target often enough to make the lack of a goal the central question of the evening; Guatemala kept the match level despite having little attacking output to show.

Standout performers

Suriname's best-rated player was S. Pinas, with a rating of 8.5. For Guatemala, K. Navarro earned the team's top rating of 8.2.

How the model called it

Before kick-off, Goalorithm's model gave Suriname a win probability of 43.3%, a draw 26.2%, and a Guatemala win 30.6%. These are estimates, and the model's most likely outcome was Suriname to win. It assigned the actual result a probability of 26.2%; the result went against the model's most likely outcome. The final score therefore ran against the model's preferred outcome, even as the match numbers showed Suriname controlling much of the action without finding a way past Guatemala.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

CONCACAF Nations League

Suriname vs Guatemala

Fri, Oct 2 · 6:00 PM ET · Dr. Ir. Franklin Essed Stadion

Full time

0–0

Half-time 0–0

The model before the game

Suriname
43.3%
Draw
26.2%
Guatemala
30.6%

The result went against the model's most likely outcome.

The numbers

SurinameStatisticGuatemala
0saves8
13shots2
5corners0
61%possession39%
8shots on target0
Open the Match Center

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