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Match analysis · Major League Soccer

Research workspace

Seattle Sounders 2-1 Sporting Kansas City: Match Analysis & Model Review

Seattle Sounders 2-1 Sporting Kansas City in Major League Soccer, Thursday, October 1: how the goals came, the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 2, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

A 2-1 win for Seattle Sounders over Sporting Kansas City in Major League Soccer on Thursday, October 1, after a match that turned on a late winner. Seattle Sounders went into the interval behind, levelled soon after the restart and settled the contest in the closing stages.

The result came after a shift in the scoreline: Sporting Kansas City struck first, Seattle Sounders equalised and the decisive goal arrived in the 90th minute. The final score was 2-1.

How it unfolded

André Luiz put Sporting Kansas City ahead in the 44th minute, making it 0-1. Seattle Sounders were behind at half-time, with the score at 0-1.

Sebastian Gomez brought Seattle Sounders level in the 51st minute, making it 1-1. The match remained level until Cristian Roldán scored for Seattle Sounders in the 90th minute to make it 2-1. Both sides led at some point; the lead changed hands once; the score was levelled once.

The numbers

The shot count was 21 for Seattle Sounders and 22 for Sporting Kansas City; shots on target were 7 and 11. Possession stood at 58% for Seattle Sounders and 42% for Sporting Kansas City. Those figures show a game in which both sides registered shots on target, while possession and attempts were shared across the teams.

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Matches
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Seattle Sounders had 11 corners, while Sporting Kansas City had 6. The save totals were 9 for Seattle Sounders and 5 for Sporting Kansas City. The match finished with three goals, split as two goals for Seattle Sounders and one goal for Sporting Kansas City. The numbers capture a contest with chances at both ends and a winner that came late.

Standout performers

A. Thomas was Seattle Sounders' best-rated player, with a rating of 8.8. André Luiz earned Sporting Kansas City's best rating, 8.2, and the line included 1 goal.

The ratings identify the standout performers on each side. The scoring contributions also shaped the decisive moments, from André Luiz's opener to Cristian Roldán's late winner, with Sebastian Gomez providing Seattle Sounders' equaliser.

How the model called it

The model's probabilities are estimates. Before kickoff, it gave Seattle Sounders a win probability of 60.1%, a draw probability of 20.4% and a Sporting Kansas City win probability of 19.6%. Its most likely outcome was Seattle Sounders to win; the actual result was assigned 60.1%, and the model's most likely outcome happened.

The scoreline was the model's 2nd-likeliest score. The model therefore identified the eventual winner as its most likely outcome, while placing this exact score as its second-likeliest score.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City

Thu, Oct 1 · 9:30 PM ET · Lumen Field

Full time

2–1

Half-time 0–1

  • 44'André Luiz0–1
  • 51'Sebastian Gomez1–1
  • 90'Cristian Roldán2–1

The model before the game

Seattle Sounders
60.1%
Draw
20.4%
Sporting Kansas City
19.6%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

The numbers

Seattle SoundersStatisticSporting Kansas City
9saves5
21shots22
11corners6
58%possession42%
7shots on target11
Open the Match Center

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