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Match analysis · UEFA Nations League

Research workspace

Rep. Of Ireland 2-2 Austria: Match Analysis & Model Review

Rep. Of Ireland 2-2 Austria in the UEFA Nations League, Thursday, October 1: the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 1, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Rep. Of Ireland and Austria finished 2-2 in the UEFA Nations League on Thursday, October 1, with a 2-2 draw after Rep. Of Ireland led 2-0 at half-time. The match ended with two goals for Rep. Of Ireland and two goals for Austria, making four goals across the contest.

That half-time lead was not enough to secure a win. The final score leaves the defining feature of the match in the shift from Rep. Of Ireland’s advantage at the break to a draw at the end.

The numbers

Austria had 55% possession and recorded 7 shots, with 2 on target. Rep. Of Ireland had 45% possession, took 4 shots and put 1 on target. Those figures describe the match’s possession and shooting output, while the scoreline records goals for both sides.

There were 1 corners for Rep. Of Ireland and 2 for Austria. The saves count was 2 for Rep. Of Ireland and 0 for Austria. The numbers give a compact account of the match’s measurable activity, alongside a result that ended level despite the half-time score. They do not supply the timing or sequence of the goals, so the score’s change after the interval cannot be assigned to particular moments here.

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Matches
Predictions
My Picks

T. Parrott was Rep. Of Ireland’s best-rated player, with a rating of 8.1 and 1 goal. The goal is the clearest individual contribution recorded for Rep. Of Ireland; the available match facts do not establish when it came or describe the chance.

P. Lienhart was Austria’s best-rated player, receiving 6.8. That identifies the leading rating for Austria, without further detail about his contribution.

How the model called it

Goalorithm’s pre-match probabilities are estimates. The model gave Rep. Of Ireland a 27% chance of winning, a draw 29.6%, and Austria a 43.4% chance. Its most likely outcome was Austria to win, and it assigned the actual result a probability of 29.6%.

The result went against the model's most likely outcome. The draw was included in the model’s pre-match assessment, but it was not the outcome the model identified as most likely.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

UEFA Nations League

Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria

Thu, Oct 1 · 2:45 PM ET · Aviva Stadium

Full time

2–2

Half-time 2–0

The model before the game

Rep. Of Ireland
27%
Draw
29.6%
Austria
43.4%

The result went against the model's most likely outcome.

The numbers

Rep. Of IrelandStatisticAustria
2saves0
4shots7
1corners2
45%possession55%
1shots on target2
Open the Match Center

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