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Game analysis · college football

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Penn State Nittany Lions 31-17 Purdue Boilermakers: Game Analysis & Model Review

A 31-17 win for the Penn State Nittany Lions over the Purdue Boilermakers in college football, Saturday, October 31: the box score, the top performers and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 31, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before the game →

Game report

The Penn State Nittany Lions beat the Purdue Boilermakers 31-17 in college football on Saturday, October 31, with Penn State Nittany Lions totaling 457 yards and Purdue Boilermakers totaling 175. Jalil Hall returned a punt for a touchdown for Purdue Boilermakers.

The numbers

Penn State Nittany Lions finished with 188 net passing yards and 269 rushing yards; Purdue Boilermakers had 142 net passing yards and 33 rushing yards. Penn State Nittany Lions had 22 first downs, while Purdue Boilermakers had 9.

Penn State Nittany Lions had 0 turnovers and Purdue Boilermakers had 2. Penn State Nittany Lions held the ball for 43:27, compared with 16:33 for Purdue Boilermakers. Penn State Nittany Lions converted 38.5% of third downs; Purdue Boilermakers converted 18.2%.

Top performers

Penn State Nittany Lions quarterback Rocco Becht completed 16 of 24 passes for 175 yards, with a touchdown, and Penn State Nittany Lions rusher Cam Wallace ran for 135 yards on 22 carries, with a touchdown. Penn State Nittany Lions receiver Benjamin Brahmer caught 4 passes for 58 yards; Penn State Nittany Lions defender Jeremiah Cooper had an interception, and Penn State Nittany Lions kicker Ryan Barker made 1 of 3 field goals.

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Predictions
Games
Standings

Purdue Boilermakers quarterback Ryan Browne completed 10 of 29 passes for 142 yards, with a touchdown and 2 interceptions, while Purdue Boilermakers rusher Fame Ijeboi ran for 20 yards on 11 carries. Purdue Boilermakers receiver Asaad Waseem caught 3 passes for 64 yards; Purdue Boilermakers defender Curt Neal had 2 sacks, and Purdue Boilermakers kicker Jacobo Echeverria Lozano made 1 of 1 field goals.

How the model called it

The model's win chances were estimates: it gave Penn State Nittany Lions 83.2% and Purdue Boilermakers 16.8%. The model's favorite was the Penn State Nittany Lions to win; the model's favorite won.

The model had the Penn State Nittany Lions by 12.6 points, and they won by 14 points, more than projected

See every number for this game in the Game Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and game records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

college football

Penn State Nittany Lions vs Purdue Boilermakers

Sat, Oct 31 · 4:15 PM ET

Final

31–17

The model before the game

Penn State Nittany Lions
83.2%
Purdue Boilermakers
16.8%

The model's favourite won.

The numbers

Penn State Nittany LionsStatisticPurdue Boilermakers
0turnovers2
22first downs9
457total yards175
269rushing yards33
188net passing yards142
43:27time of possession16:33
38.5%third-down conversion rate18.2%
Open the Game Center

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