Published October 28, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The Ball State Cardinals visit the Massachusetts Minutemen in college football on Wednesday, November 4, with kickoff at 7:00 p.m. ET. Goalorithm's model makes a Massachusetts Minutemen win its likelier result, though its projections are estimates, not certainties.
What the model expects
The model gives the Massachusetts Minutemen 88% to win and the Ball State Cardinals 12%. It projects 33.9 points for the Massachusetts Minutemen and 18.6 for the Ball State Cardinals, with 52.5 in all; its projected margin is the Massachusetts Minutemen by 15.3 points.
Records and recent results
The Massachusetts Minutemen are 4-4 overall this season, with 212 points scored and 169 allowed in 8 games. The Ball State Cardinals are 3-5, with 176 points scored and 282 allowed in 8 games; the Massachusetts Minutemen have the better record.
The Massachusetts Minutemen lost 35-16 on the road to the UConn Huskies on October 23, and before that lost 25-18 on the road to the Buffalo Bulls on October 17 and lost 20-19 at home to the Miami (OH) RedHawks on October 10. The Ball State Cardinals beat the Sacramento State Hornets 34-17 at home on October 24, and before that beat the Bowling Green Falcons 32-31 on the road on October 17 and lost 45-14 on the road to the Northwestern Wildcats on October 10.