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GOALORITHM / FTB

Preview · Friendlies

Research workspace

Panama vs New Zealand Prediction & Preview (October 1)

Panama vs New Zealand in a friendly, Thursday, October 1. Goalorithm's model makes Panama win the most likely result at 55.1%. Form and the likeliest scores.

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Published September 29, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Full time: Panama 1–1 New Zealand. Read the match analysis →

Preview

Panama host New Zealand in a friendly on Thursday, October 1 at 2:10 a.m. ET. Goalorithm’s model gives Panama the likeliest outcome, while each side arrives with a different recent run of results. Its scoring forecast points towards goals, although the likeliest scorelines include both a clean sheet and a draw.

What the model expects

The model’s likeliest result is a Panama win. It gives Panama 55.1%, a draw 23.6% and New Zealand 21.2%. These are estimates; the model’s lean is Panama to win.

The expected-goals figures are Panama 2 and New Zealand 1. The model assigns over 2.5 goals at 57.7% and under 2.5 goals at 42.3% to the total-goals outcomes. It gives 54.7% to both teams scoring and 45.3% to at least one side failing to score.

The leading correct-score possibilities are 2-0 (10.1%), 1-1 (10%) and 1-0 (9.7%). Together, these projections sketch out different ways the match could develop: 2-0 has Panama keeping a clean sheet, while 1-1 has both sides scoring and the teams level. The expected-goals figures put Panama ahead in the model’s projection, but the scoreline estimates do not point to one settled script.

Form and standings

More soccer news

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Matches
Predictions
My Picks

Panama’s recent sequence is DDWLW. Over that spell, the record is 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, with 10 goals scored and 11 conceded. The latest result was a 1-1 away draw with India on September 25, and Panama are unbeaten in their last 3. The recent results include both wins and draws; the latest match ended level.

New Zealand’s sequence is WDLLL, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats and 5 goals scored and 9 conceded. The latest result was a 3-0 away win against China on September 27, and New Zealand are unbeaten in their last 2. That latest win comes within a run that also includes draws and defeats. The model’s projections offer a separate view of the fixture, with expected goals for both sides and a win as its leading outcome for Panama.

Team news

No team news is on file yet, and the line-ups have not been announced. There is no confirmed selection detail to add, so the preview rests on the available form and the model’s match projections.

What to watch

A central question is whether Panama can turn the model’s expected-goals projection into the win it favours, or whether New Zealand can build on the latest result. The forecast allows for goals from both teams, but its leading scoreline has Panama keeping a clean sheet. A draw is also represented among the likeliest scores, leaving more than one plausible shape in the model’s picture.

The recent records provide context without deciding the contest: Panama’s latest outing was a draw, while New Zealand’s was a win. The model’s central call is a Panama win, and its scoreline projections show how that could range from a narrow result to a game in which both teams score. The match will test those estimates against the form each side brings into the fixture.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Friendlies

Panama vs New Zealand

Thu, Oct 1 · 2:10 AM ET

Goalorithm's model

Panama
55.1%
Draw
23.6%
New Zealand
21.2%
Over 2.5 goals
57.7%
Both teams score
54.7%

Likeliest scores

  • 2–0 10.1%
  • 1–1 10%
  • 1–0 9.7%
Open the Match Center

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