Skip to main content
GoalorithmSports intelligence
Today

NFL

GamesPredictionsCard BuilderMy TrackerResults

Intelligence

NewsModel PerformanceData Health

Explore

StandingsMarket Scan

Reading the numbers

What each number means, and whose it is.

Learn the numbers Explore membership

Gridiron intelligence

News

All sportsFootballBasketballMLBNFL

NFL

News

All sportsFootballBasketballMLBNFL
GOALORITHM / NFL

Game analysis · college football

Research workspace

Iowa State Cyclones 51-49 Oklahoma State Cowboys: Game Analysis & Model Review

A 51-49 win for the Iowa State Cyclones over the Oklahoma State Cowboys in college football, Saturday, October 31: the box score, the top performers and how Goalorithm's model called it.

← All news
Home / News / NFL & college / Game analysis

Published October 31, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before the game →

Game report

The Iowa State Cyclones beat the Oklahoma State Cowboys 51-49 in college football on Saturday, October 31. The Iowa State Cyclones finished with 581 total yards, including 272 rushing yards, while the Oklahoma State Cowboys generated 533 total yards and 323 net passing yards.

Both offenses produced substantial yardage in a game decided by two points. The Iowa State Cyclones finished with 1 turnover, and the Oklahoma State Cowboys had 2.

The numbers

The Iowa State Cyclones recorded 581 total yards, 309 net passing yards and 272 rushing yards. The Oklahoma State Cowboys totaled 533 yards, with 323 through the air and 210 on the ground. Those passing and rushing totals account for each team’s distinct paths to a high-scoring final.

The Iowa State Cyclones earned 24 first downs and converted 53.3% of third downs; the Oklahoma State Cowboys had 27 first downs and converted 66.7%. Possession lasted 34:47 for the Iowa State Cyclones and 25:13 for the Oklahoma State Cowboys. The turnover totals were 1 for the Iowa State Cyclones and 2 for the Oklahoma State Cowboys.

Top performers

More NFL & college football news

All news →

American footballPreview· college football

Ohio Bobcats vs Akron Zips Prediction & Preview (November 3)

Ohio Bobcats at Akron Zips in college football, Tuesday, November 3. Goalorithm's model makes an Ohio Bobcats win the likelier result at 87%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Tue, Nov 3 · 7:00 PM ET

American footballPreview· college football

Buffalo Bulls vs Miami (OH) RedHawks Prediction & Preview (November 3)

Buffalo Bulls at Miami (OH) RedHawks in college football, Tuesday, November 3. Goalorithm's model makes a Miami (OH) RedHawks win the likelier result at 70%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Tue, Nov 3 · 8:00 PM ET

Predictions
Games
Standings

For the Iowa State Cyclones, Jaylen Raynor completed 18 of 28 passes for 309 yards, with 3 touchdowns and an interception. Aiden Flora ran for 221 yards on 29 carries, with 2 touchdowns, while Jamal Polite Jr. caught 6 passes for 171 yards, with a touchdown. On defense, Beau Goodwin had an interception; Kyle Konrardy made 3 of 3 field goals.

For the Oklahoma State Cowboys, Drew Mestemaker completed 27 of 42 passes for 323 yards, with 5 touchdowns and an interception. Caleb Hawkins ran for 194 yards on 25 carries, with 2 touchdowns, and Justin Bowick caught 7 passes for 124 yards, with 2 touchdowns. LaDainian Fields had an interception, while Sam Keltner made 0 of 1 field goals.

How the model called it

Goalorithm’s pregame probabilities were estimates. The model gave the Iowa State Cyclones 29% to win and the Oklahoma State Cowboys 71%; its favorite was the Oklahoma State Cowboys to win.

The result went against the model’s favorite: the model gave the actual winner 29%. Before the game, the model had the Oklahoma State Cowboys by 7.1 points, but the Iowa State Cyclones won by two points.

See every number for this game in the Game Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and game records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

college football

Iowa State Cyclones vs Oklahoma State Cowboys

Sat, Oct 31 · 7:00 PM ET

Final

51–49

The model before the game

Iowa State Cyclones
29%
Oklahoma State Cowboys
71%

The result went against the model's favourite.

The numbers

Iowa State CyclonesStatisticOklahoma State Cowboys
1turnovers2
24first downs27
581total yards533
272rushing yards210
309net passing yards323
34:47time of possession25:13
53.3%third-down conversion rate66.7%
Open the Game Center

American footballPreview· college football

Ball State Cardinals vs Massachusetts Minutemen Prediction & Preview

Ball State Cardinals at Massachusetts Minutemen in college football, Wednesday, November 4. Goalorithm's model makes a Massachusetts Minutemen win the likelier result at 88%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Wed, Nov 4 · 7:00 PM ET

American footballPreview· college football

Toledo Rockets vs Sacramento State Hornets Prediction & Preview

Toledo Rockets at Sacramento State Hornets in college football, Wednesday, November 4. Goalorithm's model makes a Toledo Rockets win the likelier result at 88%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Wed, Nov 4 · 7:00 PM ET