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Game analysis · college football

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Texas Longhorns 31-3 Mississippi State Bulldogs: Game Analysis & Model Review

A 31-3 win for the Texas Longhorns over the Mississippi State Bulldogs in college football, Saturday, October 31: the box score, the top performers and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 31, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before the game →

Game report

The Texas Longhorns beat the Mississippi State Bulldogs 31-3 in college football on Saturday, October 31. The Texas Longhorns finished with 280 total yards, while the Mississippi State Bulldogs finished with 187. Arch Manning completed 16 of 20 passes for 220 yards, with 3 touchdowns; the Texas Longhorns won by 28 points.

The numbers

The Texas Longhorns had 280 total yards, including 220 net passing yards and 60 rushing yards. The Mississippi State Bulldogs had 187 total yards, including 119 net passing yards and 68 rushing yards. The teams each had 1 turnover. The Texas Longhorns made 13 first downs and converted 42.9% of third downs; the Mississippi State Bulldogs made 12 first downs and converted 33.3% of third downs. The Texas Longhorns possessed the ball for 27:32, and the Mississippi State Bulldogs for 32:28.

Top performers

For the Texas Longhorns, Arch Manning completed 16 of 20 passes for 220 yards, with 3 touchdowns. Raleek Brown ran for 30 yards on 8 carries, and Emmett Mosley V caught 4 passes for 98 yards, with a touchdown. Rasheem Biles had 3 sacks; Gianni Spetic made 1 of 1 field goals. Maraad Watson scored a defensive touchdown for the Texas Longhorns.

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Predictions
Games
Standings

For the Mississippi State Bulldogs, AJ Swann completed 12 of 15 passes for 97 yards. Fluff Bothwell ran for 49 yards on 17 carries, while Marquis Johnson caught 6 passes for 61 yards. Jaray Bledsoe had a sack, and Kyle Ferrie made 1 of 2 field goals.

How the model called it

Before kickoff, the model gave the Texas Longhorns 82.8% to win and the Mississippi State Bulldogs 17.2%. These were estimates, not certainties. The model's favorite was the Texas Longhorns to win; the model's favorite won. Before the game, the model had the Texas Longhorns by 12.4 points, and they won by 28 points, more than projected.

See every number for this game in the Game Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and game records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

college football

Texas Longhorns vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Sat, Oct 31 · 7:30 PM ET

Final

31–3

The model before the game

Texas Longhorns
82.8%
Mississippi State Bulldogs
17.2%

The model's favourite won.

The numbers

Texas LonghornsStatisticMississippi State Bulldogs
1turnovers1
13first downs12
280total yards187
60rushing yards68
220net passing yards119
27:32time of possession32:28
42.9%third-down conversion rate33.3%
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