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Preview · Serie A

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Lazio vs Parma Prediction & Preview (October 24)

Lazio vs Parma in Serie A, Saturday, October 24. Goalorithm's model makes Lazio win the most likely result at 64%. Form, the table, team news, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

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Home / News / Soccer / Preview

Published October 22, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Preview

Lazio host Parma in Serie A on Saturday, October 24 at 2:45 p.m. ET. The teams arrive with contrasting recent results: Lazio most recently recorded a 3-0 away win against Juventus on October 18, while Parma most recently recorded a 3-0 away defeat to Inter on October 10. The model’s likeliest result is a Lazio win.

The model’s probabilities are estimates. Its expected-goals projection gives Lazio 2.1 and Parma 0.6, setting up a forecast that leans towards the hosts while allowing for other outcomes.

What the model expects

The model’s outcomes from likeliest down are a Lazio win (64.5%), then a draw (21.3%), then a Parma win (14.2%). Its most likely exact scores are 1-0 (17%), 2-0 (14%) and 3-0 (9.4%); Parma fail to score in each of those forecasts. The model’s stated lean is Lazio to win.

For total goals, the model gives over 2.5 goals at 50% and under 2.5 goals at 50%. It gives both teams scoring 40.4%, while the chance that at least one side fails to score is 59.6%. The scorelines point towards a possible Lazio shutout, but the model also allows for both teams to find the net.

Form and standings

Lazio’s recent sequence is WWWDW, with 4 wins and 1 draw and 12 goals scored and 4 conceded. The latest result was a 3-0 away win against Juventus on October 18, and the side is on 3 wins in a row. That run gives Lazio a strong platform heading into this fixture.

More soccer news

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SoccerPreview· Serie A

Torino vs Monza Prediction & Preview (October 23)

Torino vs Monza in Serie A, Friday, October 23. Goalorithm's model makes Torino win the most likely result at 46%. Form, the table, team news, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

Fri, Oct 23 · 2:45 PM ET

SoccerPreview· Serie A

Cagliari vs Bologna Prediction & Preview (October 24)

Cagliari vs Bologna in Serie A, Saturday, October 24. Goalorithm's model makes Bologna win the most likely result at 37%. Form, the table, team news, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

Sat, Oct 24 · 9:00 AM ET

Week
Predictions
My Tracker

Parma’s sequence is LWLDL, comprising 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats and 4 goals scored and 9 conceded. The latest match was a 3-0 away defeat to Inter on October 10. In the table, Lazio sit 3rd in Serie A with 16 points from 6 games, while Parma are 16th in Serie A with 4 points from 6 games; Lazio sit above Parma.

Team news

Lazio’s reported absentees and doubts are A. Marusic (doubtful, muscle injury), M. Cancellieri (doubtful, leg injury), F. Gatto (doubtful, injury), N. Rovella (doubtful, calf injury), A. Furlanetto (knee injury) and A. Gudmundsson (shoulder injury). For Parma, the reported absentees and doubts are P. Almqvist (calf injury), H. Nicolussi Caviglia (groin injury), A. Ndiaye (knock), L. Valenti (coach's decision), A. Bernabe (thigh injury) and O. Diallo (injury). Line-ups are not announced yet, so the confirmed selections remain to come.

Head to head

The most recent meeting was Lazio 1-1 Parma (April 2026). Across the last 6 meetings, Lazio won 3, Parma won 1 and 2 were drawn. The sides have therefore shared both wins and drawn results in their recent meetings.

What to watch

Lazio’s projected attacking contribution gives the hosts a clear route to the result favoured by the model. The visitors’ recent record includes 4 goals scored and 9 conceded, while the model’s leading exact-score forecasts all have Parma failing to score. Whether Parma can change that pattern is a key question for the match.

The model gives equal estimates to the over and under goals lines, while its both-teams-to-score estimate is lower than its estimate for at least one side failing to score. Those forecasts leave more than one route through the game: a Lazio win is the model’s likeliest result, but the goals outlook is finely balanced.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Serie A

Lazio vs Parma

Sat, Oct 24 · 2:45 PM ET · Stadio Olimpico, Rome

Goalorithm's model

Lazio
64.5%
Draw
21.3%
Parma
14.2%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Both teams score
40.4%

Likeliest scores

  • 1–0 17%
  • 2–0 14%
  • 3–0 9.4%

Bookmakers, margin removed

Lazio 62.3% · Draw 23% · Parma 14.7%

Open the Match Center

SoccerPreview· Serie A

Como vs Sassuolo Prediction & Preview (October 24)

Como vs Sassuolo in Serie A, Saturday, October 24. Goalorithm's model makes Como win the most likely result at 64%. Form, the table, team news, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

Sat, Oct 24 · 9:00 AM ET

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Napoli vs AS Roma Prediction & Preview (October 24)

Napoli vs AS Roma in Serie A, Saturday, October 24. Goalorithm's model makes AS Roma win the most likely result at 42%. Form, the table, team news, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

Sat, Oct 24 · 12:00 PM ET