Internal use only
Skip to main content
GoalorithmSports intelligence
All Sports

Football

Upcoming GamesPredictionsPlayer ProjectionsParlay BuilderMy PicksBetting JournalResults

Intelligence

NewsModel PerformanceData Health

Explore

StandingsValue ScanPlayersCompetitions

Build your edge

Understand every number behind the call.

Learn the numbers Explore membership

Match intelligence

News

All sportsFootballBasketballMLBNFL

Football

News

All sportsFootballBasketballMLBNFL
GOALORITHM / FTB

Match analysis · UEFA Nations League

Research workspace

Hungary 1-0 Georgia: Match Analysis & Model Review

Hungary 1-0 Georgia in the UEFA Nations League, Friday, October 2: the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

← All news
Home / News / Soccer / Match analysis

Published October 2, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Hungary secured a 1-0 win for Hungary over Georgia in the UEFA Nations League on Friday, October 2, with the half-time score also 1-0. The final score and the interval score were unchanged, leaving Hungary with one goal and Georgia with no goals; the match produced one goal overall.

The figures point to a game in which Hungary held most of the ball and generated the available shots, while Georgia recorded none. That advantage in possession did not translate into a high shot total, and the single goal proved enough to decide the contest.

How it unfolded

Hungary were ahead by 1-0 at half-time, and the match finished 1-0. The only goal was therefore on the board by the interval; there were no further goals after the break.

The numbers

Hungary had 69% possession to Georgia's 31%, a clear split in time on the ball. The shot count was 6 to 0, and the shots-on-target figures were 1 and 0. So Hungary produced the match's attempts and its only effort on target, while Georgia did not test the goalkeeper with a shot.

The corner count was 1 for Hungary and 0 for Georgia. The saves figures were 0 for Hungary and 1 for Georgia. Taken together, those measures show a match with little activity at either end: the total shot count was limited, and the corner count was lower still. The figures also make the result's narrow margin clear. Hungary controlled possession and scored, but the shot-on-target total remained modest.

More soccer news

All news →

SoccerPreview· Primeira Liga

Moreirense vs GIL Vicente Prediction & Preview (October 9)

Moreirense vs GIL Vicente in Primeira Liga, Friday, October 9. Goalorithm's model makes GIL Vicente win the most likely result at 37.5%. Form, the table, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

Fri, Oct 9 · 1:45 PM ET

SoccerPreview· Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen Prediction & Preview (October 9)

PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen in Eredivisie, Friday, October 9. Goalorithm's model makes PSV Eindhoven win the most likely result at 72.7%. Form, the table, team news, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

Fri, Oct 9 · 2:00 PM ET

Matches
Predictions
My Picks

The scoreline tells a different kind of story from the possession split. Hungary had the greater share of the ball, yet the final margin was only the single goal recorded before half-time. Georgia had less possession and no shot to show in the match statistics, but the scoreboard stayed within reach until the final whistle.

Standout performers

Hungary's best-rated player was M. Kerkez, rated 8.2 with 1 goal. That goal gives his performance a direct connection to the decisive outcome, while the rating marks him as Hungary's leading player by that measure.

For Georgia, G. Mamardashvili was the best-rated player, with a rating of 7.7. That recognition came despite Georgia recording no shots and no shots on target, underlining that the player ratings identify an individual contribution rather than changing the team's attacking totals.

How the model called it

Before kickoff, Goalorithm's model gave Hungary a 41.5% chance of winning, with the draw at 29.2% and a Georgia win at 29.3%. These probabilities are estimates. Its likeliest outcome was Hungary to win, and the model gave the actual result 41.5%; the model's most likely outcome happened.

The exact scoreline was less central to the forecast: 1-0 was the model's 2nd-likeliest score. The match therefore followed the model's preferred outcome, while the final score sat at the position specified by that score ranking. The model's call was for a Hungary win, and that is what the result delivered.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

UEFA Nations League

Hungary vs Georgia

Fri, Oct 2 · 2:45 PM ET · Puskás Aréna

Full time

1–0

Half-time 1–0

The model before the game

Hungary
41.5%
Draw
29.2%
Georgia
29.4%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

The numbers

HungaryStatisticGeorgia
0saves1
6shots0
1corners0
69%possession31%
1shots on target0
Open the Match Center

SoccerPreview· Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Prediction & Preview (October 9)

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen in Bundesliga, Friday, October 9. Goalorithm's model makes Borussia Dortmund win the most likely result at 68.8%. Form, the table, team news, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

Fri, Oct 9 · 2:30 PM ET

SoccerPreview· Ligue 1

Lens vs Lyon Prediction & Preview (October 9)

Lens vs Lyon in Ligue 1, Friday, October 9. Goalorithm's model makes Lens win the most likely result at 37.4%. Form, the table, team news, head-to-head and the likeliest scores.

Fri, Oct 9 · 2:45 PM ET