Published October 25, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
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Match report
On Saturday, October 24, a 3-2 win for Werder Bremen over FSV Mainz 05 in Bundesliga, with 2-3 the final score. FSV Mainz 05 were behind Werder Bremen at half-time, and the game ended with both sides having scored again after the interval.
The result leaves the clearest account of the match in the scoreline: Werder Bremen finished with the win, while FSV Mainz 05 scored twice. The half-time score had already placed FSV Mainz 05 behind, and the final score confirms that the deficit remained when play ended.
The numbers
The match produced five goals: FSV Mainz 05 scored two goals and Werder Bremen scored three goals. Before kickoff, Goalorithm assigned a 52.5% chance to an FSV Mainz 05 win, 23.1% to a draw and 24.4% to a Werder Bremen win. Those estimates show the model's view of the possible outcomes before the match; they are not a record of what happened on the pitch.
The eventual score tells a different story from the model's leading pre-match outcome. Werder Bremen won, and the scoreline reflects a game in which FSV Mainz 05 also found the net. The match's half-time score and final total capture how the scoring developed across the game.