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Match analysis · Serie A

Research workspace

Frosinone 4-2 Sassuolo: Match Analysis & Model Review

Frosinone 4-2 Sassuolo in Serie A, Friday, October 16: how the goals came, the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 16, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Frosinone beat Sassuolo 4-2 in Serie A on Friday, October 16, after a 3-2 half-time score and a second-half goal from Antonio Raimondo. Raimondo scored three goals, completing a hat-trick when he made it 4-2 in the 57th minute.

The result was a 4-2 win for Frosinone over Sassuolo. Only Frosinone ever led, twice; the score was levelled once. Frosinone held a two-goal lead at 3-1, before the teams went into the interval with Sassuolo still in the contest. Raimondo’s goal after the break settled the final score.

How it unfolded

Giacomo Calò put Frosinone ahead in the 9th minute, making it 1-0. Domenico Berardi levelled for Sassuolo in the 15th minute. Antonio Raimondo restored Frosinone’s lead in the 26th minute, then scored again in the 30th minute to make it 3-1.

Kristian Thorstvedt brought Sassuolo back to 3-2 in the 37th minute. The half-time score was 3-2. Raimondo completed his hat-trick in the 57th minute, making it 4-2 and setting the final score.

The numbers

Frosinone recorded 21 shots, including 10 on target. Sassuolo had 14 shots and 6 on target. Possession stood at 42% for Frosinone and 58% for Sassuolo. The expected-goals figures were 2.12 and 1.94 respectively.

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Week
Predictions
My Tracker

There were 5 corners for Frosinone and 4 for Sassuolo. The goalkeepers made 4 saves for Frosinone and 6 for Sassuolo. The match finished with six goals: Frosinone scored four goals and Sassuolo scored two goals.

Standout performers

Antonio Raimondo was Frosinone’s standout, scoring three goals and earning the team’s best rating. His goals came in the 26th minute, 30th minute and 57th minute, with the last completing a hat-trick. A. Raimondo received a rating of 9.3, with 3 goals.

A. Murić was Sassuolo’s best-rated player, receiving 7.3. The match statistics record 6 saves for Sassuolo; the final score was 4-2.

How the model called it

Goalorithm’s pre-match probabilities are estimates. The model gave Frosinone a 41.5% chance of winning, a draw 24.3%, and Sassuolo a 34.2% chance. Its most likely outcome was Frosinone to win, and the model's most likely outcome happened.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Serie A

Frosinone vs Sassuolo

Fri, Oct 16 · 2:45 PM ET · PSC Arena

Full time

4–2

Half-time 3–2

  • 9'Giacomo Calò1–0
  • 15'Domenico Berardi1–1
  • 26'Antonio Raimondo2–1
  • 30'Antonio Raimondo3–1
  • 37'Kristian Thorstvedt3–2
  • 57'Antonio Raimondo4–2

The model before the game

Frosinone
41.5%
Draw
24.3%
Sassuolo
34.2%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

The numbers

FrosinoneStatisticSassuolo
4saves6
21shots14
5corners4
42%possession58%
2.12expected goals1.94
10shots on target6
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