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Game analysis · college football

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North Texas Mean Green 48-41 Florida Atlantic Owls: Game Analysis & Model Review

A 48-41 win for the North Texas Mean Green over the Florida Atlantic Owls in college football, Thursday, October 29: the box score, the top performers and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 30, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before the game →

Game report

The North Texas Mean Green beat the Florida Atlantic Owls 48-41 in college football on Thursday, October 29. The North Texas Mean Green finished with 240 rushing yards, while the Florida Atlantic Owls threw for 452 net passing yards. The North Texas Mean Green won by seven points.

The numbers

The North Texas Mean Green totaled 644 yards, including 404 net passing yards and 240 rushing yards. The Florida Atlantic Owls totaled 523 yards, with 452 net passing yards and 71 rushing yards. The North Texas Mean Green had 31 first downs; the Florida Atlantic Owls had 29.

Each team committed 2 turnovers. The North Texas Mean Green held possession for 35:05, and the Florida Atlantic Owls for 24:55. The North Texas Mean Green converted 57.1% of third downs, while the Florida Atlantic Owls converted 55.6%.

Top performers

For the North Texas Mean Green, Tayven Jackson completed 33 of 46 passes for 404 yards, with 4 touchdowns. Jahiem White ran for 193 yards on 26 carries, with 2 touchdowns, and Justin Stevenson caught 9 passes for 119 yards, with a touchdown. On defense, Peyton Taylor had an interception; Dominic De Freitas made 2 of 2 field goals.

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Predictions
Games
Standings

For the Florida Atlantic Owls, Caden Veltkamp completed 37 of 56 passes for 452 yards, with 5 touchdowns and an interception. Easton Messer caught 16 passes for 189 yards, with 3 touchdowns, while Leonard Farrow ran for 47 yards on 14 carries. Collin Rogers made 2 of 2 field goals.

How the model called it

The model's pregame chances were estimates: it gave the North Texas Mean Green 76.5% to win and the Florida Atlantic Owls 23.5%. Its favorite was the North Texas Mean Green to win; the model's favorite won. The model had the North Texas Mean Green by 9.3 points, and they won by seven points, less than projected.

See every number for this game in the Game Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and game records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

college football

North Texas Mean Green vs Florida Atlantic Owls

Thu, Oct 29 · 7:30 PM ET

Final

48–41

The model before the game

North Texas Mean Green
76.5%
Florida Atlantic Owls
23.5%

The model's favourite won.

The numbers

North Texas Mean GreenStatisticFlorida Atlantic Owls
2turnovers2
31first downs29
644total yards523
240rushing yards71
404net passing yards452
35:05time of possession24:55
57.1%third-down conversion rate55.6%
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