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Match analysis · UEFA Nations League

Research workspace

Faroe Islands 1-1 Slovakia: Match Analysis & Model Review

Faroe Islands 1-1 Slovakia in the UEFA Nations League, Friday, October 2: the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 2, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Faroe Islands and Slovakia shared the points with a 1-1 draw in the UEFA Nations League on Friday, October 2. Slovakia led 0-1 at half-time, before Faroe Islands scored after the interval to make the final score 1-1.

The possession figures were 75% for Slovakia and 25% for Faroe Islands. The match finished level despite that difference in possession, with Faroe Islands scoring one goal and Slovakia scoring one goal. There were two goals overall.

How it unfolded

Slovakia held the lead at the break, with the half-time score at 0-1. After the interval, Faroe Islands found the goal that brought the score level. The match ended 1-1, with no further change to the score after the equaliser.

The final result was a 1-1 draw. Faroe Islands scored one goal, while Slovakia scored one goal. The goals therefore left the sides level at full-time.

The numbers

Slovakia recorded 3 shots and Faroe Islands recorded 1. The shots-on-target totals were 1 for Slovakia and 0 for Faroe Islands. Those figures set out the recorded attempts and efforts on target without changing the central fact of the match: the sides finished level.

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The corner totals were 2 for Slovakia and 0 for Faroe Islands. The saves figures were 1 for Slovakia and 1 for Faroe Islands. Alongside the possession split, those numbers describe a match in which Slovakia had more of the ball, while the scoreline ended even. The recorded figures give a statistical picture of the contest, while the result was settled by the goals each side scored.

Standout performers

D. Greif was Slovakia’s best-rated player, with a rating of 8.0. A. Justinussen was Faroe Islands’ best-rated player, rated 8.0, and recorded 1 goal. That goal made A. Justinussen a scorer in the match and was Faroe Islands’ contribution to the final score.

How the model called it

Goalorithm’s pre-match probabilities are estimates. The model gave Faroe Islands a win probability of 15.1%, a draw probability of 24.4%, and Slovakia a win probability of 60.6%. Its most likely outcome was Slovakia to win.

The model gave the actual result 24.4%, and the result went against the model's most likely outcome. The final score 1-1 was the model's 3rd-likeliest score. The forecast had identified a Slovakia win as its most likely outcome, but the match ended level after Faroe Islands equalised following the interval.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

UEFA Nations League

Faroe Islands vs Slovakia

Fri, Oct 2 · 2:45 PM ET · Torsvollur

Full time

1–1

Half-time 0–1

The model before the game

Faroe Islands
15.1%
Draw
24.4%
Slovakia
60.6%

The result went against the model's most likely outcome.

The numbers

Faroe IslandsStatisticSlovakia
1saves1
1shots3
0corners2
25%possession75%
0shots on target1
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