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GOALORITHM / FTB

Preview · CONCACAF Nations League

Research workspace

Dominica vs Guyana Prediction & Preview (October 1)

Dominica vs Guyana in the CONCACAF Nations League, Thursday, October 1. Goalorithm's model makes Guyana win the most likely result at 70.3%. The likeliest scores.

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Published September 29, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Full time: Dominica 1–5 Guyana. Read the match analysis →

Preview

Dominica host Guyana in the CONCACAF Nations League on Thursday, October 1 at 5:00 p.m. ET. The model’s central call is a Guyana win, with its listed exact-score forecasts all showing Dominica without a goal. The match is scheduled for Estadio Centroamericano de Mayaguez, Mayaguez, and the figures put the visitors’ scoring and the possibility of a Dominica goal at the heart of the preview.

What the model expects

These probabilities are estimates. The model’s outcome order is a Guyana win (70.3%), then a draw (19.3%), then a Dominica win (10.4%). Its likeliest result is a Guyana win, and its overall lean is Guyana to win. A draw and a Dominica win also feature in the outcome forecast, but the model’s stated pick is the visitors to win.

Expected goals are 0.6 for Dominica and 2.1 for Guyana. Those projections offer a view of the attacking output each side is expected to produce; they are not a score prediction in themselves. The outcome forecast and expected-goals figures together make the visitors’ attacking contribution a key part of the model’s picture of the match.

The likeliest exact scores are 0-1 (14.8%), 0-2 (14.3%) and 0-3 (10.1%). Each of those individual score forecasts has Dominica on zero. They are the model’s most likely exact-score possibilities, not a single promised script, and they do not rule out other outcomes.

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Matches
Predictions
My Picks

The model has over 2.5 goals at 51.7% and under 2.5 goals at 48.3%. It gives both teams scoring 39.6%, while the chance that at least one side fails to score is 60.4%. That second figure applies to either side; it does not say specifically that Dominica will be kept off the scoresheet. The score forecasts show Dominica scoreless among the listed possibilities, but the both-teams-to-score estimate is a separate measure.

Team news

No team news is on file yet, and line-ups are not announced. There is no confirmed starting line-up to add to the model’s match forecast at this stage.

What to watch

The model’s story centres on Guyana’s expected attacking output and the possibility of Dominica being held scoreless, as reflected in the listed leading scorelines. For Dominica, finding a goal would differ from those three exact-score forecasts. For Guyana, the question raised by the projections is whether their expected contribution translates into the result indicated by the model’s pick.

The exact-score forecasts describe individual possibilities, while the goal and outcome estimates cover broader questions about the match. The model’s main call is a Guyana win, but its forecast also includes a draw and a Dominica win. Those outcomes leave room for the match to depart from the listed scorelines, without changing what the model identifies as its likeliest result.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

CONCACAF Nations League

Dominica vs Guyana

Thu, Oct 1 · 5:00 PM ET · Estadio Centroamericano de Mayaguez, Mayaguez

Goalorithm's model

Dominica
10.4%
Draw
19.3%
Guyana
70.3%
Over 2.5 goals
51.7%
Both teams score
39.6%

Likeliest scores

  • 0–1 14.8%
  • 0–2 14.3%
  • 0–3 10.1%

Bookmakers, margin removed

Dominica 10.5% · Draw 18.7% · Guyana 70.8%

Open the Match Center

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