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Match analysis · CONCACAF Nations League

Research workspace

Dominica 1-5 Guyana: Match Analysis & Model Review

Dominica 1-5 Guyana in the CONCACAF Nations League, Thursday, October 1: the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 1, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

A 5-1 win for Guyana over Dominica in the CONCACAF Nations League on Thursday, October 1, with Dominica trailing 0-2 at half-time. The final score was Dominica 1-5 Guyana, and the match was played at Estadio Centroamericano de Mayaguez.

The numbers

The match figures cover possession, attempts, accuracy, corners and saves, offering several measures of how the contest was recorded beyond the final score. Possession was 35% for Dominica and 65% for Guyana; the shots totals were 7 and 10, respectively. On-target efforts were 1 for Dominica and 5 for Guyana. These figures describe the ball share and the volume and accuracy of attempts without, on their own, explaining every moment that led to the result.

The corner count was 0 for Dominica and 2 for Guyana. Goalkeeper saves came to 2 for Dominica and 1 for Guyana. The scoring return was one goal for Dominica and five goals for Guyana, making six goals overall. Read together, the figures provide a compact record of the match: possession, shots, shots on target, corners, saves and goals. They put the scoring outcome alongside the underlying match totals, without making those totals a substitute for the result itself.

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Matches
Predictions
My Picks

O. De Rosario was Guyana's best-rated player, with a rating of 7.9 and 1 goal and 1 assist. The recorded goal and assist give a direct account of his contribution to the match, while the rating captures his individual assessment.

Javid George was Dominica's best-rated player, with a rating of 6.3. That identifies the strongest individual rating recorded for Dominica; it does not alter the team result, which was a 5-1 win for Guyana over Dominica.

How the model called it

Before kickoff, the model's probabilities were estimates: it gave Dominica a win probability of 8.6%, a draw probability of 17.4%, and Guyana a win probability of 74.1%. Its most likely outcome was Guyana to win, and it gave that outcome 74.1%.

The model's most likely outcome happened. The model's call therefore aligned with the result recorded on the pitch. Its pre-match view identified the outcome that followed, while the final score supplies the match's definitive account.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

CONCACAF Nations League

Dominica vs Guyana

Thu, Oct 1 · 5:00 PM ET · Estadio Centroamericano de Mayaguez

Full time

1–5

Half-time 0–2

The model before the game

Dominica
8.6%
Draw
17.4%
Guyana
74.1%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

The numbers

DominicaStatisticGuyana
2saves1
7shots10
0corners2
35%possession65%
1shots on target5
Open the Match Center

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