Published October 14, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
Deportivo La Coruna host Levante in La Liga on Friday, October 16 at 3:00 p.m. ET. Both arrive without a win in their last 4 and without a win in their last 4, while the model’s likeliest result is a Deportivo La Coruna win.
The model’s scoring outlook leans towards under 2.5 goals, making the balance between Deportivo La Coruna’s projected output and Levante’s a central feature of the preview.
What the model expects
The probabilities are estimates. The model’s outcomes, from likeliest down, are a Deportivo La Coruna win (44.9%), then a draw (28.2%), then a Levante win (27%). Its expected-goals figures are Deportivo La Coruna 1.4 and Levante 0.6.
The model gives under 2.5 goals at 67.7% and over 2.5 goals at 32.3%. Its lean is under 2.5 goals. It gives both teams to score 34.5%, while the chance of at least one side failing to score is 65.5%.
The listed scorelines are 1-0 at 17.2%, 0-0 at 16.5% and 1-1 at 12.2%. Each is a possible outcome in the model’s projections.
Form and standings
Deportivo La Coruna most recently suffered a 3-2 away defeat to Real Sociedad on October 11. In their last 5 games, their sequence is LDLDW, amounting to 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, with 7 goals scored and 8 conceded. They remain without a win in their last 4, so the latest result has not ended their search for a win.
Levante’s latest outing was a 3-3 home draw with Sevilla on October 12. Their last 5 games read DLLDW, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats and 11 goals scored and 12 conceded. They too are without a win in their last 4; their most recent match ended in a draw, with both teams scoring.