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Match analysis · CONCACAF Nations League

Research workspace

Cayman Islands 0-3 Puerto Rico: Match Analysis & Model Review

Cayman Islands 0-3 Puerto Rico in the CONCACAF Nations League, Thursday, October 1: how the goals came, the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 2, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Puerto Rico beat Cayman Islands 0-3 in the CONCACAF Nations League on Thursday, October 1, with goals from ricardo rivera, Wilfredo Rivera and Leandro Antonetti. The score was 0-2 at half-time, and Leandro Antonetti's penalty in stoppage time completed the win.

How it unfolded

Ricardo rivera put Puerto Rico ahead in the 26th minute, making the score 0-1. Wilfredo Rivera scored in the 45th minute to make it 0-2 before the interval. The match remained on that scoreline until Leandro Antonetti converted a penalty in the 90th minute (+3), setting the final score at 0-3. Only Puerto Rico ever led; Puerto Rico held a three-goal lead at 0-3.

The numbers

Cayman Islands recorded 3 shots, including 1 on target, while Puerto Rico had 6 shots and 2 on target. Possession was 37% for Cayman Islands and 63% for Puerto Rico. The corner counts were 1 for Cayman Islands and 4 for Puerto Rico. Cayman Islands made 0 saves, and Puerto Rico made 1.

Cayman Islands finished with no goals, and Puerto Rico scored three goals, making three goals in all. The shot and possession figures describe a match in which Puerto Rico had the greater share of the ball, while the scoreline was built from goals at different stages: Puerto Rico scored before the break, then added the penalty late on. Cayman Islands' effort on target shows that it did test the opposition goalkeeper, but it did not produce a goal. The match statistics give a clear account of the scoring outcome without suggesting that every attack resulted in a chance on target.

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Standout performers

J. De Leon was Puerto Rico's best-rated player, receiving 8.2 and recording 2 assists. That contribution came in a match where Puerto Rico scored each of the goals and secured the result. Wesley Robinson was Cayman Islands' best-rated player, with a rating of 6.3. The ratings identify each side's standout performer, while the match's decisive moments came through three goals.

How the model called it

The model's probabilities are estimates. Before kick-off, it gave Cayman Islands a win probability of 4.8%, a draw 10.7%, and a Puerto Rico win 84.5%. Its likeliest outcome was Puerto Rico to win, carrying 84.5%; the model's most likely outcome happened.

The final score 0-3 was the model's 3rd-likeliest score. That distinction matters: the model's call on the match outcome landed, while the precise scoreline was not its leading score prediction. The actual result therefore matched the model's outcome call, with the score prediction itself occupying the position stated above.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

CONCACAF Nations League

Cayman Islands vs Puerto Rico

Thu, Oct 1 · 8:00 PM ET · Estadio Centroamericano de Mayaguez

Full time

0–3

Half-time 0–2

  • 26'ricardo rivera0–1
  • 45'Wilfredo Rivera0–2
  • 90'+3Leandro Antonetti (penalty)0–3

The model before the game

Cayman Islands
4.8%
Draw
10.7%
Puerto Rico
84.5%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

The numbers

Cayman IslandsStatisticPuerto Rico
0saves1
3shots6
1corners4
37%possession63%
1shots on target2
Open the Match Center

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