Published September 29, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Final: SMU Mustangs 25–16 Boston College Eagles. Read the game analysis →
Preview
The Boston College Eagles visit the SMU Mustangs in college football on Saturday, October 3, with kickoff at 12:00 p.m. ET. The model's likelier result is an SMU Mustangs win.
What the model expects
The model gives the SMU Mustangs 87.3% to win and the Boston College Eagles 12.7%. These figures are estimates, not certainties.
The model projects 33.5 points for the SMU Mustangs and 18.7 for the Boston College Eagles, with 52.2 in all. Its projected margin is the SMU Mustangs by 14.8 points.
Records and recent results
The SMU Mustangs are 3-1 overall this season, with 148 points scored and 99 allowed in 4 games. The Boston College Eagles are 2-2, with 79 points scored and 92 allowed in 4 games; the SMU Mustangs have the better record.
Most recently, the SMU Mustangs beat the Missouri State Bears 34-24 at home on September 26, and before that lost 41-31 on the road to the Louisville Cardinals on September 19.
