Internal use only
Skip to main content
GoalorithmSports intelligence
All Sports

NFL

GamesPredictionsParlay BuilderMy PicksBetting JournalResults

Intelligence

NewsModel PerformanceData Health

Explore

StandingsValue Scan

Build your edge

Understand every number behind the call.

Learn the numbers Explore membership

Gridiron intelligence

News

All sportsFootballBasketballMLBNFL

NFL

News

All sportsFootballBasketballMLBNFL
GOALORITHM / NFL

Game analysis · college football

Research workspace

SMU Mustangs 25-16 Boston College Eagles: Game Analysis & Model Review

A 25-16 win for the SMU Mustangs over the Boston College Eagles in college football, Saturday, October 3: the box score, the top performers and how Goalorithm's model called it.

← All news
Home / News / NFL & college / Game analysis

Published October 3, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before the game →

Game report

The SMU Mustangs beat the Boston College Eagles 25-16 in college football on Saturday, October 3. The SMU Mustangs finished with 0 turnovers, while the Boston College Eagles gave the ball away 1 time; SMU Mustangs also converted 50% of third downs.

The Boston College Eagles gained 322 yards to SMU Mustangs' 218, but SMU Mustangs came away with the win.

The numbers

The Boston College Eagles had 322 total yards, including 208 passing and 114 rushing. The SMU Mustangs totaled 218, with 160 passing and 58 rushing.

The SMU Mustangs earned 21 first downs and held possession for 26:55; the Boston College Eagles had 19 first downs and possession for 33:05. On third down, the Boston College Eagles converted 43.8%, compared with SMU Mustangs' 50%.

Top performers

For the SMU Mustangs, Kevin Jennings completed 20 of 30 passes for 160 yards, with 2 touchdowns. Kendrick Raphael ran for 45 yards on 15 carries, with a touchdown, while Jalen Cooper caught 5 passes for 45 yards. On defense, Marques White had 3 sacks.

More NFL & college football news

All news →

American footballPreview· college football

New Mexico State Aggies vs Florida International Panthers Prediction & Preview

New Mexico State Aggies at Florida International Panthers in college football, Wednesday, October 7. Goalorithm's model makes a Florida International Panthers win the likelier result at 78%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Wed, Oct 7 · 7:30 PM ET

American footballPreview· college football

Missouri State Bears vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Prediction & Preview

Missouri State Bears at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers in college football, Thursday, October 8. Goalorithm's model makes a Missouri State Bears win the likelier result at 65.2%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Predictions
Games
Standings

For the Boston College Eagles, Mason McKenzie completed 20 of 31 passes for 208 yards, with 2 touchdowns, and ran for 74 yards on 21 carries. Evan Dickens caught 3 passes for 45 yards, with a touchdown; Demetrius Ballard had a sack, and Luca Lombardo made 1 of 1 field goals.

How the model called it

The model's figures were estimates. Before the game, the model gave the SMU Mustangs 87.3% to win and the Boston College Eagles 12.7%. Its favorite was the SMU Mustangs to win, and the model's favorite won.

The model had the SMU Mustangs by 14.8 points, and they won by nine points, less than projected.

See every number for this game in the Game Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and game records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

college football

SMU Mustangs vs Boston College Eagles

Sat, Oct 3 · 12:00 PM ET

Final

25–16

The model before the game

SMU Mustangs
87.3%
Boston College Eagles
12.7%

The model's favourite won.

The numbers

SMU MustangsStatisticBoston College Eagles
0turnovers1
21first downs19
218total yards322
58rushing yards114
160net passing yards208
26:55time of possession33:05
50%third-down conversion rate43.8%
Open the Game Center

Thu, Oct 8 · 7:00 PM ET

American footballPreview· college football

Sam Houston Bearkats vs Liberty Flames Prediction & Preview

Sam Houston Bearkats at Liberty Flames in college football, Thursday, October 8. Goalorithm's model makes a Liberty Flames win the likelier result at 78.7%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Thu, Oct 8 · 7:00 PM ET

American footballPreview· college football

South Florida Bulls vs UTSA Roadrunners Prediction & Preview

South Florida Bulls at UTSA Roadrunners in college football, Thursday, October 8. Goalorithm's model makes a South Florida Bulls win the likelier result at 73.8%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Thu, Oct 8 · 7:30 PM ET