Published October 22, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
Borussia Dortmund host Eintracht Frankfurt in Bundesliga on Saturday, October 24 at 12:30 p.m. ET. Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in their last 5, while Eintracht Frankfurt arrive after a 1-0 home win against 1. FC Köln on October 16. The model gives Borussia Dortmund the leading result probability, but its projected goals and scorelines leave room for an eventful contest.
What the model expects
Goalorithm’s probabilities are estimates. The model gives Borussia Dortmund 64.8%, a draw 18.1% and Eintracht Frankfurt 17.1%; its likeliest result is a Borussia Dortmund win. Its lean is Borussia Dortmund to win.
The model projects over 2.5 goals at 80.4% and under 2.5 goals at 19.6%, with both teams to score 71.7% and at least one side failing to score 28.3%. Expected goals are Borussia Dortmund 3 and Eintracht Frankfurt 1.4. The likeliest scores are 2-1 (7.5%), 3-1 (7.3%) and 1-1 (5.6%). Together, those figures point to a game in which Borussia Dortmund have the larger expected-goals total, while the leading scoreline is close.
Form and standings
Borussia Dortmund’s recent sequence is DDWWW: 3 wins and 2 draws, with 9 goals scored and 4 conceded. Their latest result was a 0-0 away draw with Union Berlin on October 17, extending a run in which they are unbeaten in their last 5.
Eintracht Frankfurt’s sequence is WLDWL: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with 7 goals scored and 13 conceded. Their latest result was a 1-0 home win against 1. FC Köln on October 16. In the table, Borussia Dortmund sit above Eintracht Frankfurt: Borussia Dortmund are 2nd in Bundesliga with 14 points from 6 games, while Eintracht Frankfurt are 11th in Bundesliga with 8 points from 6 games. The recent results provide distinct starting points for the fixture, with Borussia Dortmund carrying an unbeaten run into the meeting and Eintracht Frankfurt coming off a win.