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Match analysis · UEFA Nations League

Research workspace

Azerbaijan 0-0 Liechtenstein: Match Analysis & Model Review

Azerbaijan 0-0 Liechtenstein in the UEFA Nations League, Thursday, October 1: the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 1, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Azerbaijan and Liechtenstein finished a 0-0 draw in the UEFA Nations League on Thursday, October 1, with the match ending at 0-0. The interval score was 0-0, and neither side found a goal before the final whistle.

How it unfolded

There was no change to report in the scoring: Azerbaijan had no goals, Liechtenstein had no goals, and no goals were scored in all. The half-time score remained 0-0, matching the final score.

The numbers

Azerbaijan had 4 shots, but 0 were on target. Liechtenstein registered 0 shots, with 0 on target. The figures show that neither side produced an effort on target, and the match ended without a goal. There was no shot on target to turn possession or an attacking move into a scoring return.

Possession was 66% for Azerbaijan and 34% for Liechtenstein. That gave Azerbaijan more of the ball, but the possession share did not translate into a shot on target. The figures offer a clear distinction between control of possession and the outcome: Azerbaijan had the larger share, while the score stayed level.

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The corner count was 2 for Azerbaijan and 0 for Liechtenstein. Those figures add to the picture of a match in which Azerbaijan had the greater share of the recorded attacking activity, but neither team's efforts produced a goal. With no shots on target for either side, the scoreline reflects the lack of a decisive finish as well as the lack of a breakthrough.

How the model called it

Before kickoff, Goalorithm's model gave Azerbaijan a win probability of 81.9%, a draw probability of 12.4% and a Liechtenstein win probability of 5.7%. These are estimates. The model's most likely outcome was Azerbaijan to win, but it gave the actual result a probability of 12.4%; the result went against the model's most likely outcome.

The final score, 0-0, was the model's 3rd-likeliest score. The draw therefore fell outside the model's most likely outcome, even though it was included in the probabilities before kickoff. The match finished level, with no goal to alter that verdict during the game.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

UEFA Nations League

Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein

Thu, Oct 1 · 12:00 PM ET · Tofiq Bəhramov

Full time

0–0

Half-time 0–0

The model before the game

Azerbaijan
81.9%
Draw
12.4%
Liechtenstein
5.7%

The result went against the model's most likely outcome.

The numbers

AzerbaijanStatisticLiechtenstein
4shots0
2corners0
66%possession34%
0shots on target0
Open the Match Center

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