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Match analysis · CONCACAF Nations League

Research workspace

Anguilla 0-3 Antigua and Barbuda: Match Analysis & Model Review

Anguilla 0-3 Antigua and Barbuda in the CONCACAF Nations League, Thursday, October 1: how the goals came, the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 1, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

A 3-0 win for Antigua and Barbuda over Anguilla in the CONCACAF Nations League on Thursday, October 1, with 0-3 the final score. Anguilla were behind 0-1 at the interval, and Antigua and Barbuda added two goals after the break. The scoring was shared between andre d bishop, who scored two goals, and Sean tomlinson; the match was played at Sir Vivian Richards Stadium.

Antigua and Barbuda took the lead before half-time and remained in front throughout. The final margin reflected a contest in which Antigua and Barbuda produced a substantial edge in attempts and corners, while Anguilla did not register a shot on target.

How it unfolded

Only Antigua and Barbuda ever led. Andre d bishop put Antigua and Barbuda in front in the 35th minute, making it 0-1. The same scorer extended the lead in the 64th minute, with 0-2 on the board; Sean tomlinson then completed the scoring in the 74th minute, making it 0-3. Antigua and Barbuda held a three-goal lead at 0-3.

The numbers

The attacking figures tell a clear story. Antigua and Barbuda had 43 shots to Anguilla's 4, and put 15 on target while Anguilla recorded 0. The gap in volume and accuracy was reflected in the scoring: Anguilla finished with no goals, Antigua and Barbuda with three goals, and there were three goals in all.

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Matches
Predictions
My Picks

Possession was 55% for Antigua and Barbuda and 45% for Anguilla. The corner count was 16 to 4, another measure of the pressure Antigua and Barbuda applied. Anguilla made 13 saves, while Antigua and Barbuda made 0. The saves figure for Anguilla sits alongside the difference in attempts, with the goalkeeper called into action repeatedly. Anguilla had a substantial share of the ball, but that possession did not translate into a shot on target. The figures describe a match where Antigua and Barbuda created the more frequent opportunities and Anguilla were unable to turn possession into a scoring threat.

Standout performers

Andre d bishop scored two goals, recording a brace and helping establish Antigua and Barbuda's advantage. Sean tomlinson supplied the remaining goal, completing the scoring after the earlier strikes. The best-rated player for Antigua and Barbuda was Quentin Griffith, with a rating of 7.6; Anguilla's best-rated was Sedu bradshaw, rated 6.4. The ratings provide an individual snapshot alongside the clearest attacking contribution: andre d bishop's two goals.

How the model called it

Before kickoff, Goalorithm's model gave Anguilla a 17.4% chance of winning, a draw 25.4%, and an Antigua and Barbuda win 57.2%. These probabilities are estimates. The model's most likely outcome was Antigua and Barbuda to win, and it gave the actual result 57.2%; the model's most likely outcome happened. Its pre-match view aligned with the outcome on the pitch, as Antigua and Barbuda converted its attacking output into the win.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

CONCACAF Nations League

Anguilla vs Antigua and Barbuda

Thu, Oct 1 · 7:00 PM ET · Sir Vivian Richards Stadium

Full time

0–3

Half-time 0–1

  • 35'andre d bishop0–1
  • 64'andre d bishop0–2
  • 74'Sean tomlinson0–3

The model before the game

Anguilla
17.4%
Draw
25.4%
Antigua and Barbuda
57.2%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

The numbers

AnguillaStatisticAntigua and Barbuda
13saves0
4shots43
4corners16
45%possession55%
0shots on target15
Open the Match Center

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