All 3 matches on Tue 27 Oct are priced by a blend of our model and the bookmakers. How each source has done
Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
Data provider's injury report: Sassuolo 5 out · Lazio 4 out
Bookmakers: no line yet
Model + bookmakers blend: Sassuolo 19% · draw 20% · Lazio 61%
Data provider's injury report: AS Roma 4 out · Cagliari 2 out
Bookmakers: no line yet
Model + bookmakers blend: AS Roma 46% · draw 20% · Cagliari 35%
Data provider's injury report: Torino 2 out · Como 3 out
Bookmakers: no line yet
Model + bookmakers blend: Torino 25% · draw 17% · Como 58%
Scores updated 7:59 PM EDT
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Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 59% of 375 matches. It gave its favourite 53% on average: too cautious.
Model (ours): too few to say (7).
Bookmakers or data provider: too few to say (1).
Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
Published cards: 141 of 179 came in (cards share legs; small sample).
Our soccer numbers are not validated as better than the bookmakers' yet.