All 11 matches on Sat 24 Oct are priced by a blend of our model and the bookmakers. How each source has done
Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Upset: Sheffield Utd were the bookmakers' 53% favourites and drew 1–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
Our blend's call: right
Our blend's call: wrong
Our blend's call: right
Our blend's call: wrong
Our blend's call: wrong
Our blend's call: wrong
Our blend's call: wrong
Our blend's call: right
Scores updated 11:49 PM EDT
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Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 60% of 373 matches. It gave its favourite 53% on average: too cautious.
Model (ours): too few to say (6).
Bookmakers or data provider: too few to say (1).
Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
Published cards: 141 of 179 came in (cards share legs; small sample).
Our soccer numbers are not validated as better than the bookmakers' yet.