Today: Every Game, Every Source Named

Match intelligence

Today

Football

Today

Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade

Finished8

The bookmakers' favourite won 4 of 8 matches.

FinalEredivisie
GO Ahead Eagles3Telstar2
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Recap
FinalBundesliga
VfB Stuttgart2Borussia Mönchengladbach3
Upset: VfB Stuttgart were the bookmakers' 69% favourites and lost 2–3.
Our blend's call: wrong
Recap
FinalSerie A
Torino3Monza2
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
FinalLigue 1
Stade Brestois 291Nice2
Upset: Stade Brestois 29 were the bookmakers' 43% favourites and lost 1–2.
Our blend's call: wrong
Recap
FinalPremier League
Ipswich1Nottingham Forest1
Upset: Nottingham Forest were the bookmakers' 42% favourites and drew 1–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
Recap
FinalChampionship
Bolton1Middlesbrough5
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Recap
FinalLa Liga
Alaves1Malaga1
Upset: Alaves were the bookmakers' 57% favourites and drew 1–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
Recap
FinalPrimeira Liga
Vitória SC5Maritimo0
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Recap

Match intelligence

Today

Football

Today

Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade

The bookmakers' favourite won 4 of 8 matches.

FinalEredivisie
GO Ahead Eagles3Telstar2
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Recap
FinalBundesliga
VfB Stuttgart2Borussia Mönchengladbach3
Upset: VfB Stuttgart were the bookmakers' 69% favourites and lost 2–3.
Our blend's call: wrong
Recap
FinalSerie A
Torino3Monza2
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
FinalLigue 1
Stade Brestois 291Nice2
Upset: Stade Brestois 29 were the bookmakers' 43% favourites and lost 1–2.
Our blend's call: wrong
Recap
FinalPremier League
Ipswich1Nottingham Forest1
Upset: Nottingham Forest were the bookmakers' 42% favourites and drew 1–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
Recap
FinalChampionship
Bolton1Middlesbrough5
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Recap
FinalLa Liga
Alaves1Malaga1
Upset: Alaves were the bookmakers' 57% favourites and drew 1–1.
Our blend's call: wrong
Recap
FinalPrimeira Liga
Vitória SC5Maritimo0
The bookmakers' favourite won.
Our blend's call: right
Recap

All 8 matches on Fri 23 Oct are priced by a blend of our model and the bookmakers.

How each source has done, last 30 days

Soccer
Model + bookmakers blend (ours): its favourite won 60% of 373, after saying 53%: too cautious · Model (ours): too few to say (6) · Bookmakers or data provider: too few to say (1). Over 463 matches in the last 60 days, the bookmakers' closing prices were slightly more accurate than ours.
NFL/College
Bookmakers: their favourite won 66% of 240, after their prices said 68% · Model (ours): too few to say (2) · Default (home side): too few to say (2).
MLB
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: their favourite won 56% of 34, after their prices said 56%.
Basketball
No graded model of ours yet · Bookmakers: too few to say (16).

Every number says whose it is. No sport's numbers are validated as better than the bookmakers' yet. How we grade