Published October 31, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers visit the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders in college football on Saturday, November 7, with kickoff at 3:30 p.m. ET. Both teams come in after a loss.
What the model expects
The model gives the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 70.1% to win and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 29.9%. These are estimates, not certainties; the model's likelier result is a Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders win.
The projection has the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at 29.9 points and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at 23, for 52.9 in all. Its projected margin is the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders by 6.9 points.
Records and recent results
The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders are 4-4 overall this season, with 191 points scored and 237 allowed in 8 games. The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are 3-5, with 170 points scored and 249 allowed in 8 games; the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders have the better record.
The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders lost 44-28 at home to the Kennesaw State Owls on October 28, and before that beat the Florida International Panthers 26-23 on the road on October 20 and beat the Delaware Blue Hens 33-30 at home on October 13. The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers lost 35-21 at home to the Delaware Blue Hens on October 27, and before that beat the Sam Houston Bearkats 16-3 on the road on October 14 and beat the Missouri State Bears 34-13 at home on October 8.