Published October 15, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
West Brom host Blackburn in the Championship on Saturday, October 17, with kick-off at 10:00 a.m. ET. The sides arrive with wins from their latest outings, while the model’s scoring outlook points towards a controlled contest rather than a high-scoring one.
West Brom sit above Blackburn in the table. Recent form gives each side a reason for confidence: West Brom won away at Wrexham, while Blackburn followed a productive run with victory at Bristol City.
What the model expects
The model’s outcomes run a West Brom win (47.2%), then a draw (27.6%), then a Blackburn win (25.1%). It gives West Brom the likeliest result, but the draw and Blackburn win remain substantial possibilities. These probabilities are estimates; the model’s view is a West Brom win, with expected goals of 1.4 for the hosts and 1 for Blackburn.
The model leans towards under 2.5 goals: under 2.5 goals at 58.6%, against over 2.5 goals at 41.4%. Its both-teams-to-score figures are 45.9% for yes and 54.1% for no, with the latter meaning at least one side fails to score, not necessarily a goalless match. The leading correct-score possibilities are 1-1 (13.4%), 0-0 (12.3%) and 1-0 (12%).
The bookmakers’ outcome order is a West Brom win (49.3%), then a draw (26.4%), then a Blackburn win (24.3%). Against that order, the model gives a West Brom win 47.2%, below the bookmakers' 49.3%. The forecast still gives Blackburn a meaningful chance and keeps the draw in view.