Published October 31, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The Vanderbilt Commodores visit the Mississippi State Bulldogs in college football on Saturday, November 7, with kickoff set for 4:15 p.m. ET. Goalorithm’s model favors the Mississippi State Bulldogs, projecting a higher scoring total for the home side.
What the model expects
The model’s figures are estimates, not certainties. The model gives the Mississippi State Bulldogs 80.2% to win and the Vanderbilt Commodores 19.8%; its likelier result is a Mississippi State Bulldogs win.
The projected score is Mississippi State Bulldogs 33.2, Vanderbilt Commodores 22.1, for 55.3 points in all. The projected margin is the Mississippi State Bulldogs by 11.1 points.
Records and recent results
The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 4-3 overall this season, with 210 points scored and 194 allowed in 7 games. The Vanderbilt Commodores are 3-5, with 182 points scored and 242 allowed in 8 games; the Mississippi State Bulldogs have the better record.
The Vanderbilt Commodores lost 34-17 on the road to the Kentucky Wildcats on October 24, and before that lost 31-21 at home to the Arkansas Razorbacks on October 17 and lost 52-17 at home to the Ole Miss Rebels on October 10