Published October 29, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The UTSA Roadrunners visit the Florida Atlantic Owls in college football on Thursday, November 5, with kickoff at 7:30 p.m. ET. Goalorithm’s model points to a narrow projected margin and gives the likelier result to the UTSA Roadrunners.
What the model expects
The model gives the Florida Atlantic Owls 49.2% to win and the UTSA Roadrunners 50.8%; these are estimates, not certainties. Its likelier result is a UTSA Roadrunners win.
The projected score is Florida Atlantic Owls 32.6 and UTSA Roadrunners 32.8, with 65.4 points in all. The model projects the UTSA Roadrunners by 0.2 points.
Records and recent results
The Florida Atlantic Owls are 5-2 overall this season, with 261 points scored and 238 allowed in 7 games. The UTSA Roadrunners are 7-1 overall, with 268 points scored and 208 allowed in 8 games; the UTSA Roadrunners have the better record.
The UTSA Roadrunners beat the Tulane Green Wave 42-19 on the road on October 24, and before that beat the Navy Midshipmen 38-34 at home on October 17 and beat the South Florida Bulls 31-24 at home on October 8. The UTSA Roadrunners arrive after those wins over the Tulane Green Wave, Navy Midshipmen and South Florida Bulls, with the latest result on the road.