Published October 23, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Read the preview written before kickoff →
Match report
Union St. Gilloise beat Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-0 in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday, October 22, with a 4-0 win for Union St. Gilloise over Hapoel Beer Sheva. The half-time score was 1-0; by the final whistle, the match had produced four goals for Union St. Gilloise and no goals for Hapoel Beer Sheva, making four goals overall.
The result gives a clear account of the outcome: Union St. Gilloise won, while Hapoel Beer Sheva did not score. The interval score shows that Union St. Gilloise had already taken the lead before the second half. The final score records the full extent of the win, without requiring any further detail about how the goals were shared across the match.
The numbers
The scoreline and the model's pre-match estimates describe different parts of the story. The scoreline records what happened; the estimates set out the model's view before kickoff. These probabilities are estimates. The model gave a Union St. Gilloise win 69.4%, a draw 18.7% and a Hapoel Beer Sheva win 11.9%.
Those figures show that the model assigned the largest share of its pre-match probability to a Union St. Gilloise victory, while still allowing for either a draw or a Hapoel Beer Sheva win. The final result arrived within that set of possible outcomes, and the recorded score shows that it was a win for Union St. Gilloise rather than a draw or a Hapoel Beer Sheva victory. The estimates provide the model's pre-match frame; the result supplies the match's actual conclusion.