Published November 1, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The Sam Houston Bearkats visit the Jacksonville State Gamecocks in college football on Saturday, November 7, with kickoff at 7:00 p.m. ET. Goalorithm’s model gives the Jacksonville State Gamecocks 88% to win and the Sam Houston Bearkats 12%. Those probabilities are estimates, not certainties.
What the model expects
The model’s likelier result is a Jacksonville State Gamecocks win. It projects 30.1 points for the Jacksonville State Gamecocks and 14.8 for the Sam Houston Bearkats, with 44.9 in all and a projected margin of the Jacksonville State Gamecocks by 15.3 points.
Records and recent results
The Jacksonville State Gamecocks are 6-2 overall this season, with 215 points scored and 159 allowed in 8 games. The Sam Houston Bearkats are 1-7 overall, with 144 points scored and 201 allowed in 8 games. The Jacksonville State Gamecocks have the better record.
The Jacksonville State Gamecocks beat the New Mexico State Aggies 24-0 on the road on October 28, and before that beat the Florida International Panthers 27-24 at home on October 13 and beat the Kennesaw State Owls 27-26 on the road on October 7. The Sam Houston Bearkats lost 24-3 on the road to the Missouri State Bears on October 27, and before that lost 30-24 at home to the New Mexico State Aggies on October 21 and lost 16-3 at home to the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers on October 14.