Published October 31, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The Rice Owls visit the North Texas Mean Green in college football on Saturday, November 7, with kickoff at 4:00 p.m. ET. The model gives the North Texas Mean Green 88% to win and the Rice Owls 12%; its figures are estimates.
What the model expects
The model's likelier result is a North Texas Mean Green win. It projects 39.7 points for the North Texas Mean Green and 24.5 for the Rice Owls, with 64.2 in all. The projected margin is the North Texas Mean Green by 15.2 points.
Records and recent results
The North Texas Mean Green are 6-2 overall this season, with 350 points scored and 255 allowed in 8 games. The Rice Owls are 1-7, with 168 points scored and 254 allowed in 8 games. The North Texas Mean Green have the better record.
The North Texas Mean Green beat the Florida Atlantic Owls 48-41 at home on October 29, and before that beat the Navy Midshipmen 49-39 on the road on October 24 and beat the Charlotte 49ers 50-10 at home on October 10.
The Rice Owls lost 51-49 on the road to the Florida Atlantic Owls on October 24, and before that lost 38-17 at home to the Tulsa Golden Hurricane on October 17 and lost 28-12 on the road to the East Carolina Pirates on October 10.