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Match analysis · UEFA Nations League

Research workspace

Poland 6-0 Romania: Match Analysis & Model Review

Poland 6-0 Romania in the UEFA Nations League, Friday, October 2: the numbers behind the result and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 2, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before kickoff →

Match report

Poland beat Romania 6-0 in the UEFA Nations League on Friday, October 2, having led 1-0 at half-time. The result was a 6-0 win for Poland over Romania. The match was played at National Stadium Warsaw.

The numbers

Poland had 67% possession and Romania had 33%. The shot count was 1 for Poland and 3 for Romania; efforts on target numbered 0 and 2, respectively. The scoreline brought six goals in all, with Poland scoring six goals and Romania no goals.

The corner count was 3 for Poland and 0 for Romania. Goalkeepers made 2 saves for Poland and 0 for Romania. The figures combine a substantial possession share for Poland with a decisive result, while the shot and target counts show that the match cannot be described simply by the volume of attempts. They do not establish how the goals were created or when they came, so the scoreline is the clearest measure of the difference between the teams.

Standout performers

Poland's best-rated player was R. Lewandowski, rated 9.2, with 3 goals. The goals give his performance a direct connection to the result, while his rating marks him out as Poland's leading player by that measure.

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For Romania, R. Marin was the best-rated player, with a rating of 6.3. That makes him Romania's leading performer on the ratings, despite the side finishing without a goal.

How the model called it

Goalorithm's pre-match probabilities are estimates. The model gave Poland a 57.2% chance of winning, the draw 22.9%, and Romania a 20% chance of winning. Its most likely outcome was Poland to win, assigned a probability of 57.2%.

The match ended as a 6-0 win for Poland over Romania, and the model's most likely outcome happened. The model's pre-match view therefore matched the outcome on the pitch: Poland won, with the result delivering the model's selected outcome.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

UEFA Nations League

Poland vs Romania

Fri, Oct 2 · 2:45 PM ET · National Stadium Warsaw

Full time

6–0

Half-time 1–0

The model before the game

Poland
57.2%
Draw
22.9%
Romania
20%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

The numbers

PolandStatisticRomania
2saves0
1shots3
3corners0
67%possession33%
0shots on target2
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