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Match analysis · UEFA Europa League

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Plzen 1-2 Levski Sofia: Match Analysis & Model Review

Plzen 1-2 Levski Sofia in the UEFA Europa League, Thursday, October 22: how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 23, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

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Match report

Levski Sofia left Plzen with a victory in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday, October 22, as a 2-1 win for Levski Sofia over Plzen. The interval score was 0-1; by the final whistle, Plzen had scored one goal and Levski Sofia two goals. The outcome gives the match a clear shape in the record: the side that led at half-time went on to win, while the final margin was a single goal. That is what the scoreline establishes, without revealing the sequence of the scoring or how the balance of play developed.

At Doosan Arena, the result settled the points in Levski Sofia's favour. Plzen finished with a goal, but that was not enough to draw level or change the outcome. The final score is the decisive measure here; the available information gives no account of possession, chances or other events from the match, so the analysis rests on the score and the model's pre-match view.

How it unfolded

The first confirmed checkpoint is half-time, when Plzen were behind 0-1. The score then changed before full-time to 1-2. The facts establish the interval and final scores, but not the timing or order of the goals after the break, so no more detailed scoring sequence can be set out. No red-card information is available.

What can be said from the recorded scores is that Plzen got on the scoresheet after the interval, while Levski Sofia ended the match with two goals. Those details explain the final result without implying when either goal arrived or describing the play that produced them. The match therefore finished with Levski Sofia ahead, and Plzen unable to bring the scores level.

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The numbers

There were three goals in all: Plzen scored one goal, and Levski Sofia scored two goals. The difference between those totals is reflected in the final score, 1-2, and in the result, a 2-1 win for Levski Sofia over Plzen. The half-time score, 0-1, records that Levski Sofia already held the lead at the interval. These figures describe the outcome; they do not by themselves indicate which team created more opportunities or controlled the match.

The scoreline also shows why the interval and full-time records matter together. Plzen did find a goal, but the match ended with Levski Sofia still ahead. No additional performance figures are available to qualify that reading, so the firm conclusion is the one recorded by the scoreboard: Levski Sofia won, and Plzen lost.

How the model called it

Before kick-off, the model's estimates gave Plzen a 30.7% chance of winning, a draw 30.6%, and Levski Sofia a 38.8% chance of victory. These probabilities are estimates. The model's most likely outcome was Levski Sofia to win; it assigned the actual result 38.8%, and the model's most likely outcome happened.

That makes the result consistent with the model's stated pre-match selection. The probabilities also show that its forecast allowed for a home win and a draw, as well as an away victory; the match finished with the outcome it had identified as most likely. The model's call and the final score align, while the score itself remains the measure of what happened on the pitch.

See every number for this game in the Match Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and match records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

UEFA Europa League

Plzen vs Levski Sofia

Thu, Oct 22 · 3:00 PM ET · Doosan Arena

Full time

1–2

Half-time 0–1

The model before the game

Plzen
30.7%
Draw
30.6%
Levski Sofia
38.8%

The model's most likely outcome happened.

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