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GOALORITHM / NFL

Game analysis · college football

Research workspace

UNLV Rebels 31-24 Northern Illinois Huskies: Game Analysis & Model Review

A 31-24 win for the UNLV Rebels over the Northern Illinois Huskies in college football, Saturday, October 31: the box score, the top performers and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published November 1, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before the game →

Game report

The UNLV Rebels beat the Northern Illinois Huskies 31-24 in college football on Saturday, October 31. The UNLV Rebels gained 473 yards, including 204 rushing yards, while the Northern Illinois Huskies finished with 493 total yards and 240 rushing yards.

The numbers

The UNLV Rebels had 269 net passing yards and 204 rushing yards; the Northern Illinois Huskies had 253 net passing yards and 240 rushing yards. The UNLV Rebels totaled 473 yards and 22 first downs, while the Northern Illinois Huskies totaled 493 yards and 24 first downs.

The UNLV Rebels had 2 turnovers and possessed the ball for 24:51; the Northern Illinois Huskies had 1 turnover and held possession for 35:09. The UNLV Rebels converted 45.5% of third downs, and the Northern Illinois Huskies converted 52.9%.

Top performers

For the UNLV Rebels, Jackson Arnold completed 20 of 30 passes for 269 yards, with 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Jai'Den Thomas ran for 114 yards on 16 carries, with a touchdown, and Kayden McGee caught 5 passes for 112 yards, with a touchdown. On defense, Mumu Bin-Wahad had an interception; Ramon Villela made 1 of 1 field goals.

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Buffalo Bulls at Miami (OH) RedHawks in college football, Tuesday, November 3. Goalorithm's model makes a Miami (OH) RedHawks win the likelier result at 70%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

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Predictions
Games
Standings

For the Northern Illinois Huskies, Taron Dickens completed 19 of 37 passes for 253 yards, with 2 touchdowns and an interception. Elijah Porter ran for 113 yards on 21 carries, while George Dimopoulos caught 7 passes for 127 yards, with a touchdown. On defense, Brady Kerperin had an interception; JJ Schlenhardt made 1 of 3 field goals.

How the model called it

Goalorithm’s pregame chances were estimates, not certainties: the model gave the UNLV Rebels 88% to win and the Northern Illinois Huskies 12%. The model’s favorite was the UNLV Rebels to win, and the model's favorite won. Before the game, the model had the UNLV Rebels by 15.2 points, and they won by seven points, less than projected.

See every number for this game in the Game Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and game records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

college football

UNLV Rebels vs Northern Illinois Huskies

Sat, Oct 31 · 10:30 PM ET

Final

31–24

The model before the game

UNLV Rebels
88%
Northern Illinois Huskies
12%

The model's favourite won.

The numbers

UNLV RebelsStatisticNorthern Illinois Huskies
2turnovers1
22first downs24
473total yards493
204rushing yards240
269net passing yards253
24:51time of possession35:09
45.5%third-down conversion rate52.9%
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Ball State Cardinals at Massachusetts Minutemen in college football, Wednesday, November 4. Goalorithm's model makes a Massachusetts Minutemen win the likelier result at 88%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Wed, Nov 4 · 7:00 PM ET

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Toledo Rockets vs Sacramento State Hornets Prediction & Preview

Toledo Rockets at Sacramento State Hornets in college football, Wednesday, November 4. Goalorithm's model makes a Toledo Rockets win the likelier result at 88%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

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