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GOALORITHM / NFL

Game analysis · college football

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North Texas Mean Green 45-44 Tulsa Golden Hurricane: Game Analysis & Model Review

A 45-44 win for the North Texas Mean Green over the Tulsa Golden Hurricane in college football, Thursday, October 1: the box score, the top performers and how Goalorithm's model called it.

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Published October 2, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Read the preview written before the game →

Game report

The North Texas Mean Green beat the Tulsa Golden Hurricane 45-44 in college football on Thursday, October 1. The North Texas Mean Green won by one point; Jahiem White ran for 219 yards on 32 carries, with a touchdown.

The numbers

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane finished with 352 yards, including 211 passing and 141 rushing. The North Texas Mean Green had 559 yards, with 332 passing and 227 rushing.

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane had 22 first downs, possessed the ball for 25:18, converted 17.6% of third downs and committed 0 turnovers. The North Texas Mean Green had 27 first downs, 34:42 of possession, a 42.1% third-down rate and 3 turnovers.

Top performers

For the Tulsa Golden Hurricane, Baylor Hayes completed 25 of 43 passes for 211 yards, with 3 touchdowns. Damari Alston ran for 79 yards on 23 carries, with a touchdown, while Oran Singleton Jr. caught 11 passes for 104 yards. Thomas Davis had an interception; Owen Carey made 1 of 1 field goals.

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For the North Texas Mean Green, Tayven Jackson completed 24 of 39 passes for 332 yards, with 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Jahiem White ran for 219 yards on 32 carries, with a touchdown, and Max Reese caught 5 passes for 101 yards, with a touchdown. Udoka Ezeani had a sack; Dominic De Freitas made 1 of 1 field goals.

How the model called it

Goalorithm's pregame chances were 67.8% for the Tulsa Golden Hurricane and 32.2% for the North Texas Mean Green; these were estimates, not certainties. The model's favorite was the Tulsa Golden Hurricane to win, and the result went against the model's favorite. It gave the North Texas Mean Green 32.2%; the model had the Tulsa Golden Hurricane by 6.0 points, but the North Texas Mean Green won by one point.

See every number for this game in the Game Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and game records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

college football

Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs North Texas Mean Green

Thu, Oct 1 · 9:00 PM ET

Final

44–45

The model before the game

Tulsa Golden Hurricane
67.8%
North Texas Mean Green
32.2%

The result went against the model's favourite.

The numbers

Tulsa Golden HurricaneStatisticNorth Texas Mean Green
0turnovers3
22first downs27
352total yards559
141rushing yards227
211net passing yards332
25:18time of possession34:42
17.6%third-down conversion rate42.1%
Open the Game Center

Thu, Oct 8 · 7:00 PM ET

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