Published October 31, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The North Carolina Tar Heels visit the UConn Huskies in college football on Saturday, November 7, with kickoff at 12:00 p.m. ET. The teams have matching season records, and the model's likelier result is a UConn Huskies win.
What the model expects
The model's estimates give the UConn Huskies 75.2% to win and the North Carolina Tar Heels 24.8%. It projects 30.6 points for the UConn Huskies and 21.7 for the North Carolina Tar Heels, 52.3 in all, with a projected margin of the UConn Huskies by 8.9 points.
Records and recent results
The UConn Huskies are 4-3 overall this season, with 249 points scored and 167 allowed in 7 games. The North Carolina Tar Heels are 4-3 overall this season, with 171 points scored and 146 allowed in 7 games; the two sides have the same record.
The UConn Huskies beat the Massachusetts Minutemen 35-16 at home on October 23, and before that beat the Temple Owls 34-20 on the road on October 10 and lost 42-41 at home to the Syracuse Orange on October 3.
The North Carolina Tar Heels lost 31-30 at home to the Syracuse Orange on October 24, and before that beat the Duke Blue Devils 24-20 on the road on October 17 and beat the Pittsburgh Panthers 21-17 on the road on October 10.