Published September 27, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The New York Jets visit the Chicago Bears in the NFL on Sunday, October 4, with kickoff at 1:00 p.m. ET. The Chicago Bears have the better record, and both teams arrive after a loss in their latest game.
What the model expects
Goalorithm’s projections are estimates, not certainties. The model gives the Chicago Bears 70.9% to win and the New York Jets 29.1%; its likelier result is a Chicago Bears win. It projects 26.7 points for the Chicago Bears and 21.2 for the New York Jets, with 47.9 in all, and a margin of the Chicago Bears by 5.5 points.
Records and recent results
The Chicago Bears are 1-1 this season, with 62 points scored and 46 allowed in 2 games. The New York Jets are 1-2, with 64 points scored and 61 allowed in 3 games. The Chicago Bears lost 9-3 at home to the Minnesota Vikings on September 20. The New York Jets lost 31-24 on the road to the Detroit Lions on September 27, and before that lost 20-17 at home to the Green Bay Packers on September 20.
Team news
For the Chicago Bears: Tyson Bagent (questionable), Tony Fields II (injured reserve), Ruben Hyppolite II (injured reserve), Nikola Kalinic (injured reserve), Nephi Sewell (injured reserve) and Jonathan Garvin (injured reserve). For the New York Jets: Adonai Mitchell (questionable), Joseph Ossai (questionable), David Onyemata (injured reserve), Arian Smith (injured reserve), Marcelino McCrary-Ball (injured reserve) and VJ Payne (injured reserve).