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GOALORITHM / NFL

Preview · NFL

Research workspace

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Prediction & Preview (October 4)

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills in the NFL, Sunday, October 4. Goalorithm's model makes a Buffalo Bills win the likelier result at 85%. The preview covers the records, recent results and the injury report.

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Published September 27, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk

Preview

The New England Patriots visit the Buffalo Bills in the NFL on Sunday, October 4, with kickoff at 1:00 p.m. ET. Goalorithm’s model gives the Buffalo Bills 85% to win and the New England Patriots 15%; those probabilities are estimates.

What the model expects

The model’s likelier result is a Buffalo Bills win. It projects 27.3 points for the Buffalo Bills and 17 for the New England Patriots, with 44.3 in all. The projected margin is the Buffalo Bills by 10.3 points.

Records and recent results

The Buffalo Bills are 3-0 overall this season, with 101 points scored and 78 allowed in 3 games. The New England Patriots are 1-2 overall, with 36 points scored and 51 allowed in 3 games. The Buffalo Bills have the better record.

The Buffalo Bills beat the Los Angeles Chargers 24-16 at home on September 27, and before that beat the Detroit Lions 41-31 at home on September 17. The New England Patriots lost 35-6 on the road to the Jacksonville Jaguars on September 27, and before that beat the Pittsburgh Steelers 20-3 at home on September 20.

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American footballPreview· college football

New Mexico State Aggies vs Florida International Panthers Prediction & Preview

New Mexico State Aggies at Florida International Panthers in college football, Wednesday, October 7. Goalorithm's model makes a Florida International Panthers win the likelier result at 78%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Wed, Oct 7 · 7:30 PM ET

American footballPreview· college football

Missouri State Bears vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Prediction & Preview

Missouri State Bears at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers in college football, Thursday, October 8. Goalorithm's model makes a Missouri State Bears win the likelier result at 65.2%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Predictions
Games
Standings

Listed as missing or doubtful for the Buffalo Bills are Keon Coleman (questionable), Ed Oliver (questionable), DJ Moore (questionable), Jordan Hancock (injured reserve) and Zane Durant (injured reserve).

See every number for this game in the Game Center →

How this was written: an AI writer drafts the words from Goalorithm's own data. Every figure is filled in from our model and game records, never by the writer, and nothing we don't hold is guessed. Probabilities are model estimates, not certainties.

For informational/entertainment purposes only — not betting or financial advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

NFL

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET

Goalorithm's model

Buffalo Bills
85%
New England Patriots
15%

Projected points

Buffalo Bills
27.3
New England Patriots
17
Total
44.3
Projected margin
Buffalo Bills by 10.3

The margin and total are the model's own lines, not bookmakers'.

Open the Game Center

Thu, Oct 8 · 7:00 PM ET

American footballPreview· college football

Sam Houston Bearkats vs Liberty Flames Prediction & Preview

Sam Houston Bearkats at Liberty Flames in college football, Thursday, October 8. Goalorithm's model makes a Liberty Flames win the likelier result at 78.7%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Thu, Oct 8 · 7:00 PM ET

American footballPreview· college football

South Florida Bulls vs UTSA Roadrunners Prediction & Preview

South Florida Bulls at UTSA Roadrunners in college football, Thursday, October 8. Goalorithm's model makes a South Florida Bulls win the likelier result at 73.8%. The preview covers the records and recent results.

Thu, Oct 8 · 7:30 PM ET