Published October 16, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The Missouri State Bears visit the Delaware Blue Hens in college football on Tuesday, October 20, with kickoff at 7:00 p.m. ET. The Delaware Blue Hens are coming off a loss, while the Missouri State Bears arrive after a win.
What the model expects
The model gives the Delaware Blue Hens 69.8% to win and the Missouri State Bears 30.2%. Those probabilities are estimates, not certainties. The model's likelier result is a Delaware Blue Hens win.
Its projected points are 29 for the Delaware Blue Hens and 22.2 for the Missouri State Bears, with 51.2 in all. The projected margin is the Delaware Blue Hens by 6.8 points.
Records and recent results
The Delaware Blue Hens are 2-4 overall this season, with 137 points scored and 161 allowed in 6 games. The Missouri State Bears are 2-4, with 133 points scored and 183 allowed in 6 games. The two sides have the same record.
The Delaware Blue Hens lost 33-30 on the road to the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders on October 13, and before that lost 30-14 at home to the Liberty Flames on October 2 and lost 42-3 on the road to the Virginia Cavaliers on September 26.
The Missouri State Bears beat the Kennesaw State Owls 24-21 at home on October 14, and before that lost 34-13 on the road to the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers on October 8 and lost 34-24 on the road to the SMU Mustangs on September 26.