Published October 14, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers visit the Los Angeles Dodgers in MLB on Friday, October 16, with first pitch at 9:00 p.m. ET. Both clubs have finished the regular season, and this is a postseason game.
What the model expects
The model’s estimates give the Los Angeles Dodgers 53.5% and the Milwaukee Brewers 46.5%; its likelier result is a Los Angeles Dodgers win. It projects 4.6 for the Los Angeles Dodgers and 4.4 for the Milwaukee Brewers, with 9 in all.
The model gives the Los Angeles Dodgers a 35.1% chance to win by two runs or more, and the Milwaukee Brewers a 30.7% chance.
Form and standings
The Milwaukee Brewers have the better record. The Los Angeles Dodgers finished the regular season at 100-62, with a +201 run differential (801 runs scored and 600 allowed). The Milwaukee Brewers finished at 103-59, with a +214 run differential (832 runs scored and 618 allowed).
The Milwaukee Brewers bullpen has the lower ERA: the Los Angeles Dodgers posted 3.74, while the Milwaukee Brewers posted 3.40.
Team news
No injured-list news is on file for this game.