Published October 14, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers visit the Los Angeles Dodgers in MLB on Thursday, October 15, with first pitch set for 8:00 p.m. ET. Both clubs have finished the regular season, and this is a postseason game. The model's likelier result is a Los Angeles Dodgers win.
What the model expects
The model gives the Los Angeles Dodgers 53.5% and the Milwaukee Brewers 46.5%; these are estimates, not certainties. Its expected scoring is 4.6 for the Los Angeles Dodgers and 4.4 for the Milwaukee Brewers, with 9 in all. The model's chance of the Los Angeles Dodgers winning by two runs or more is 35.1%; for the Milwaukee Brewers, it is 30.7%.
Form and standings
The Los Angeles Dodgers finished the regular season 100-62 overall, with a run differential of +201: 801 runs scored and 600 allowed. The Milwaukee Brewers finished 103-59, with a differential of +214: 832 runs scored and 618 allowed. The Milwaukee Brewers have the better record.
The latest meetings were Milwaukee Brewers 7-4 on October 12 and Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 on October 11.
What to watch
The Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen posted a 3.74 ERA, while the Milwaukee Brewers bullpen posted a 3.40; the Milwaukee Brewers bullpen has the lower ERA. The forecast for first pitch at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium is 85°F and clear, wind 7 mph from the southeast.