Published September 28, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The Los Angeles Chargers visit the Seattle Seahawks in the NFL on Sunday, October 4, with kickoff at 4:25 p.m. ET. The Seattle Seahawks are coming off a loss, while the Los Angeles Chargers have dropped their latest two results.
What the model expects
The model's figures are estimates, not certainties. Its likelier result is a Seattle Seahawks win, and it gives the Seattle Seahawks 88% to win and the Los Angeles Chargers 12%.
The model projects 26.3 points for the Seattle Seahawks and 14.6 for the Los Angeles Chargers, 40.9 in all. Its projected margin is the Seattle Seahawks by 11.7 points.
Records and recent results
The Seattle Seahawks are 2-1 overall this season, with 75 points scored and 50 allowed in 3 games. The Los Angeles Chargers are 0-3, with 44 points scored and 76 allowed in 3 games; the Seattle Seahawks have the better record.
The Seattle Seahawks lost 33-31 on the road to the Washington Commanders on September 27, and before that beat the Arizona Cardinals 31-7 on the road on September 20.
The Los Angeles Chargers lost 24-16 on the road to the Buffalo Bills on September 27, and before that lost 26-14 at home to the Las Vegas Raiders on September 20.