Published November 1, 2026 · By the Goalorithm model desk
Preview
The Liberty Flames visit the New Mexico State Aggies in college football on Saturday, November 7, with kickoff at 8:00 p.m. ET. Goalorithm’s model leans toward the Liberty Flames, while the teams arrive from contrasting recent results.
What the model expects
These projections are estimates. The model gives the Liberty Flames 88% to win and the New Mexico State Aggies 12%; its likelier result is a Liberty Flames win. That read is at the model’s ceiling of 88%.
The model projects 31.1 points for the Liberty Flames and 15.9 for the New Mexico State Aggies, with 47 in all. Its projected margin is the Liberty Flames by 15.2 points.
Records and recent results
The Liberty Flames are 7-1 overall this season, with 270 points scored and 108 allowed in 8 games. The New Mexico State Aggies are 3-5 overall this season, with 172 points scored and 202 allowed in 8 games; the Liberty Flames have the better record.
The Liberty Flames beat the Florida International Panthers 49-10 at home on October 31, and before that beat the Kennesaw State Owls 34-6 on the road on October 22 and beat the Sam Houston Bearkats 35-3 at home on October 8. The New Mexico State Aggies lost 24-0 at home to the Jacksonville State Gamecocks on October 28, and before that beat the Sam Houston Bearkats 30-24 on the road on October 21 and lost 22-3 on the road to the Florida International Panthers on October 7.